FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
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Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 33.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
29%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
33.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
EIF Win 63.3%
Draw 9.5%
MP Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
EIF1.73
MP1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
EIF EIF
WWDLW
27 GF / 23 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
18 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
8
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

EIF EIF 13 matches
MP MP 15 matches
EIF Statistic MP
7 Wins 7
0 Draws 1
6 Losses 7
27 Goals For 18
23 Goals Against 18
2.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
8 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 9
10 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features EIF's more proactive style and MP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring MP. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

EIF Analysis

From their first 8 matches, EIF have collected 12 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:16 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Veinbergs (3 goals), S. Bah (3 goals), L. Helander (2 goals), with creative support from D. Agbo (3 assists), S. Bah (1 assists), N. Mohammed (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

MP Analysis

MP sit 8 with 9 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 6:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Saidy (3 goals), N. Forsell (1 goals), S. Atakayi (1 goals), with creative support from E. Ylonen (2 assists), M. Kastrati (1 assists), P. Kerminen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, EIF won 8 times, MP won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:12 from EIF's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)
H2H summary: EIF wins 8, draws 4, MP wins 2
Last matches: EIF
31.05.26
Ykk
EIF
MP
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ykk
EIF
KäPa
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
EIF
SJK Akatemia
3
0
W
08.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Haka
3
4
L
03.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Kooteepee
5
2
W
25.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JäPS
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ykk
EIF
Klubi-04
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JIPPO
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ykk
EIF
PK-35
2
4
L
27.03.26
Fri
EIF
Mariehamn
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
EIF
Turku PS
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
EIF
Klubi-04
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
EIF
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
Last matches: MP
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
MP
PEPO
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
MP
Atlantis
4
1
W
H2H: EIF vs MP
31.05.26
H2H
MP
EIF
1
0
L
23.09.23
H2H
MP
EIF
0
2
W
27.08.23
H2H
EIF
MP
2
1
W
11.06.23
H2H
MP
EIF
0
0
D
07.08.22
H2H
MP
EIF
2
2
D
05.06.22
H2H
EIF
MP
2
2
D
17.07.21
H2H
EIF
MP
2
1
W
13.05.21
H2H
MP
EIF
2
1
L
10.10.20
H2H
EIF
MP
3
0
W
16.08.20
H2H
MP
EIF
1
1
D
15.02.20
H2H
MP
EIF
0
2
W
17.10.15
H2H
MP
EIF
2
4
W
15.08.15
H2H
EIF
MP
1
0
W
17.06.15
H2H
MP
EIF
0
1
W
Last matches: EIF
23.05.26
Ykk
EIF
KäPa
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
EIF
SJK Akatemia
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Kooteepee
5
2
W
19.04.26
Ykk
EIF
Klubi-04
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JIPPO
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
EIF
Turku PS
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
EIF
Klubi-04
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
EIF
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
H2H at home: EIF
27.08.23
H2H
EIF
MP
2
1
W
05.06.22
H2H
EIF
MP
2
2
D
17.07.21
H2H
EIF
MP
2
1
W
10.10.20
H2H
EIF
MP
3
0
W
15.08.15
H2H
EIF
MP
1
0
W
Last matches: MP
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
H2H away: MP
27.08.23
H2H
EIF
MP
2
1
L
05.06.22
H2H
EIF
MP
2
2
D
17.07.21
H2H
EIF
MP
2
1
L
10.10.20
H2H
EIF
MP
3
0
L
15.08.15
H2H
EIF
MP
1
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 9:6 3 19
W W W W L
2 10 5 3 2 11:6 5 18
D W W D W
3 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
W W D W L
4 9 4 3 2 10:6 4 15
L L W D W
5 9 4 1 4 8:10 -2 13
L L L W W
6
EIF Home
9 4 0 5 17:17 0 12
L W W L W
7 9 3 3 3 10:11 -1 12
W L D L L
8
MP Away
9 4 0 5 7:9 -2 12
W W L L W
9 9 1 2 6 4:12 -8 5
L L L L D
10 10 0 4 6 6:12 -6 4
D L L D D