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FINLAND › YKKöSLIIGA
17.10.2026 13:00
Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN

EIF vs KäPa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.73
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
62.5%
1.73 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.40 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.43 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
17.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
EIF Win 41.1%
Draw 21.4%
KäPa Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
EIF1.46
KäPa1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
EIF EIF
WWDLW
39 GF / 50 GA
KäPa KäPa
WLDWL
35 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
13
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

EIF EIF 30 matches
KäPa KäPa 29 matches
EIF Statistic KäPa
11 Wins 8
5 Draws 7
14 Losses 14
39 Goals For 35
50 Goals Against 49
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
13 BTTS Yes 19
21 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KäPa having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KäPa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

EIF Analysis

EIF are currently 7 in the standings with 29 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 29:44 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa are currently 9 in the standings with 25 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 31:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, EIF won 10 times, KäPa won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:16 from EIF's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.69 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.6%)
H2H summary: EIF wins 10, draws 2, KäPa wins 1

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 4 4 48:26 22 58
L D W W W
2 26 14 7 5 41:21 20 49
L D L W D
3 26 14 5 7 50:29 21 47
W L W D L
4 26 12 8 6 36:21 15 44
W D L W L
5 26 11 2 13 23:40 -17 35
L L W L W
6 26 8 6 12 28:36 -8 30
D D W D W
7
EIF Home
26 8 5 13 29:44 -15 29
L D L D D
8 26 6 8 12 37:37 0 26
W W L L D
9
KäPa Away
26 6 7 13 31:46 -15 25
D W W L D
10 26 3 8 15 21:44 -23 17
W D L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen