FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
1 - 0
Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN
Referee: J. Vuorinen
EIF
Match Timeline
KäPa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
Y. Lika
KäPa
🟨
60'
A. Almen
KäPa
🟨
65'
R. Pakkanen
EIF
🔄
67'
S. Bah ↔ L. Helander
EIF
🔄
74'
N. Nurmi ↔ N. Leinonen
KäPa
🔄
79'
R. Kerrebijn ↔ D. Kocol
EIF
🔄
82'
R. Huhtamaki ↔ V. Jokiranta
KäPa
🔄
83'
A. Almen ↔ E. Jantunen
KäPa
🔄
83'
D. Rokman ↔ D. Ripatti
KäPa
🟨
90+3'
U. Huhtamaki
KäPa
🔄
90+6'
D. Agbo ↔ D. Maes
EIF
🔄
90+5'
N. Mohammed ↔ A. Bjorklund
EIF
🔄
90+1'
Y. Lika ↔ A. Pitkanen
KäPa
90'
N. Mohammed
EIF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
EIF Win 49.9%
Draw 13.5%
KäPa Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
EIF1.9
KäPa1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
EIF EIF
WWDLW
26 GF / 22 GA
KäPa KäPa
WLDWL
12 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.36
Average Goals Scored
1.2
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
8
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

EIF EIF 11 matches
KäPa KäPa 10 matches
EIF Statistic KäPa
6 Wins 4
0 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
26 Goals For 12
22 Goals Against 12
2.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
8 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 6
10 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward KäPa. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KäPa having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

EIF Analysis

EIF are currently 6 in the standings with 9 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:16 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Veinbergs (3 goals), S. Bah (3 goals), L. Helander (2 goals), with creative support from D. Agbo (3 assists), S. Bah (1 assists), N. Mohammed (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa sit 7 with 9 points after 7 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Lika (3 goals), A. Almen (2 goals), D. Cukici (1 goals), with creative support from N. Leinonen (2 assists), N. Nurmi (1 assists), R. Huhtamaki (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, EIF won 9 times, KäPa won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:16 from EIF's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.92 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
H2H summary: EIF wins 9, draws 2, KäPa wins 1

Lineups

EIF
Formation
KäPa
A. Mikkonen
A. Mikkonen
R. Pakkanen
R. Pakkanen
N. Veinbergs
N. Veinbergs
Lucas Kaufmann
Lucas Kaufmann
N. Mohammed
N. Mohammed
D. Agbo
D. Agbo
T. Kaleba
T. Kaleba
S. Bah
S. Bah
F. Mohamed
F. Mohamed
O. Gunes
O. Gunes
R. Kerrebijn
R. Kerrebijn
T. Collin
T. Collin
U. Huhtamaki
U. Huhtamaki
P. Hietalahti
P. Hietalahti
P. Lindberg
P. Lindberg
N. Nurmi
N. Nurmi
R. Huhtamaki
R. Huhtamaki
A. Almen
A. Almen
Y. Lika
Y. Lika
S. Sillah
S. Sillah
D. Rokman
D. Rokman
M. Kuningas
M. Kuningas
EIF 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
A. Mikkonen
5
R. Pakkanen
🟨 65'
9
N. Veinbergs
10
Lucas Kaufmann
11
N. Mohammed
⚽ 90' ↓ 90+5'
19
D. Agbo
↓ 90+6'
22
T. Kaleba
23
S. Bah
↓ 67'
29
F. Mohamed
30
O. Gunes
34
R. Kerrebijn
↓ 79'
Substitutes
1
O. Heino
3
D. Maes
↑ 90+6'
7
L. Pimentel
8
A. Peltola
15
A. Bjorklund
↑ 90+5'
20
L. Helander
↑ 67'
21
A. Sandbacka
27
D. Kocol
↑ 79'
KäPa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Collin
2
U. Huhtamaki
🟨 90+3'
4
P. Hietalahti
5
P. Lindberg
6
N. Nurmi
↓ 74'
8
R. Huhtamaki
↓ 82'
9
A. Almen
↓ 83' 🟨 60'
10
Y. Lika
↓ 90+1' 🟨 43'
11
S. Sillah
21
D. Rokman
↓ 83'
25
M. Kuningas
Substitutes
35
J. Tarkanmaki
3
S. Puputti
7
N. Leinonen
↑ 74'
15
A. Pastinen
17
V. Jokiranta
↑ 82'
18
E. Jantunen
↑ 83'
22
D. Ripatti
↑ 83'
29
J. Salmi
53
A. Pitkanen
↑ 90+1'
Last matches: EIF
04.07.26
Ykk
EIF
PK-35
0
3
L
27.06.26
Ykk
EIF
JIPPO
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ykk
EIF
Kooteepee
1
5
L
06.06.26
Ykk
EIF
MP
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ykk
EIF
MP
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
EIF
SJK Akatemia
3
0
W
08.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Haka
3
4
L
03.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Kooteepee
5
2
W
25.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JäPS
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ykk
EIF
Klubi-04
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JIPPO
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ykk
EIF
PK-35
2
4
L
27.03.26
Fri
EIF
Mariehamn
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
EIF
Turku PS
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
EIF
Klubi-04
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
EIF
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
Last matches: KäPa
28.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
KäPa
JäPS
1
0
W
H2H: EIF vs KäPa
23.05.26
H2H
EIF
KäPa
1
0
W
06.02.26
H2H
EIF
KäPa
1
1
D
26.09.25
H2H
EIF
KäPa
4
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
KäPa
EIF
1
3
W
23.04.25
H2H
EIF
KäPa
4
2
W
29.03.24
H2H
EIF
KäPa
2
2
D
12.08.23
H2H
EIF
KäPa
2
1
W
04.06.23
H2H
KäPa
EIF
2
3
W
04.02.23
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
1
W
06.09.14
H2H
KäPa
EIF
4
2
L
12.07.14
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
0
W
21.05.14
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
1
W
Last matches: EIF
04.07.26
Ykk
EIF
PK-35
0
3
L
06.06.26
Ykk
EIF
MP
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
EIF
SJK Akatemia
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Kooteepee
5
2
W
19.04.26
Ykk
EIF
Klubi-04
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JIPPO
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
EIF
Turku PS
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
EIF
Klubi-04
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
EIF
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
H2H at home: EIF
23.05.26
H2H
EIF
KäPa
1
0
W
06.02.26
H2H
EIF
KäPa
1
1
D
26.09.25
H2H
EIF
KäPa
4
1
W
23.04.25
H2H
EIF
KäPa
4
2
W
29.03.24
H2H
EIF
KäPa
2
2
D
12.08.23
H2H
EIF
KäPa
2
1
W
04.02.23
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
1
W
12.07.14
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
0
W
21.05.14
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
1
W
Last matches: KäPa
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
KäPa
JäPS
1
0
W
H2H away: KäPa
23.05.26
H2H
EIF
KäPa
1
0
L
06.02.26
H2H
EIF
KäPa
1
1
D
26.09.25
H2H
EIF
KäPa
4
1
L
23.04.25
H2H
EIF
KäPa
4
2
L
29.03.24
H2H
EIF
KäPa
2
2
D
12.08.23
H2H
EIF
KäPa
2
1
L
04.02.23
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
1
L
12.07.14
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
0
L
21.05.14
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
1
L

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 21:13 8 29
D W W L W
2 13 8 3 2 21:7 14 27
W W W D W
3 13 6 3 4 21:14 7 21
L L W W L
4 13 5 6 2 17:10 7 21
D D W D L
5 13 6 1 6 12:19 -7 19
W L L W L
6 13 5 1 7 12:15 -3 16
W L D L W
7
EIF Home
13 5 1 7 20:26 -6 16
L D L W L
8
KäPa Away
12 4 3 5 14:17 -3 15
W L L W L
9 12 1 5 6 10:14 -4 8
W D D L L
10 13 1 3 9 4:17 -13 6
L L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen