NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena
Referee: E. Wisted-Thu
Egersund
Match Timeline
Moss
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
O. Kapskarmo · Assist: P. Hovland
Egersund
33'
O. Kapskarmo · Assist: S. Vatne
Egersund
🟨
50'
K. Strande
Moss
🔄
57'
R. Hermanstad ↔ J. Laegreid
Moss
🟨
59'
O. Kapskarmo
Egersund
🔄
69'
J. Ekeland ↔ J. Lynum
Egersund
🔄
69'
K. Saetherbo ↔ S. Davis
Egersund
🔄
69'
J. Musbaudeen ↔ P. Andersen
Moss
70'
S. Vatne · Assist: J. Lynum
Egersund
🔄
73'
E. Chidi ↔ W. Olofsson
Moss
🔄
78'
S. Vatne ↔ M. Haheim-Elveseter
Egersund
🔄
85'
K. Eggen ↔ H. Kleppa
Egersund
🔄
85'
O. Kapskarmo ↔ O. Toft Noreng
Egersund

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.2%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Egersund Win 38.8%
Draw 23.8%
Moss Win 37.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Egersund1.92
Moss1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Egersund Egersund
WWDLW
34 GF / 36 GA
Moss Moss
WLDWL
44 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
2.12
12
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Egersund Egersund 19 matches
Moss Moss 25 matches
Egersund Statistic Moss
7 Wins 8
4 Draws 4
8 Losses 13
34 Goals For 44
36 Goals Against 53
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 2.12
12 BTTS Yes 18
16 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 15
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Egersund have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Moss having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Moss. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Egersund Analysis

Egersund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 16 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 19:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Moss Analysis

From their first 12 matches, Moss have collected 17 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Egersund won 5 times, Moss won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Egersund's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.78 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
Predicted formations: Egersund - / Moss 4-3-3
H2H summary: Egersund wins 5, draws 1, Moss wins 3

Lineups

Egersund
Formation
Moss
A. A. Lonning S.
A. A. Lonning S.
K. Eggen
K. Eggen
I. Jonsson
I. Jonsson
J. Gregersen
J. Gregersen
B. Maeland
B. Maeland
S. Vatne
🎯
S. Vatne
C. Sleveland
C. Sleveland
K. Saetherbo
K. Saetherbo
J. Ekeland
J. Ekeland
O. Kapskarmo
⚽ 2
O. Kapskarmo
P. Hovland
🎯
P. Hovland
M. Eriksen
M. Eriksen
M. Cassidy
M. Cassidy
K. Strande
K. Strande
W. Kvale
W. Kvale
E. Chidi
E. Chidi
H. Vold Krohg
H. Vold Krohg
J. Musbaudeen
J. Musbaudeen
S. Gronli
S. Gronli
N. Semmen
N. Semmen
O. Aga
O. Aga
R. Hermanstad
R. Hermanstad
Egersund 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. A. Lonning S.
21
K. Eggen
↓ 85'
31
I. Jonsson
25
J. Gregersen
3
B. Maeland
27
S. Vatne
⚽ 70' 🎯 33' ↓ 78'
8
C. Sleveland
6
K. Saetherbo
↓ 69'
16
J. Ekeland
↓ 69'
9
O. Kapskarmo
⚽ 23' ⚽ 33' ↓ 85' 🟨 59'
18
P. Hovland
🎯 23'
Substitutes
12
S. Bergene
2
H. Kleppa
↑ 85'
7
N. Tornvig
10
S. R. Michalsen
14
J. Lynum
🎯 70' ↑ 69'
22
H. Tadesse
23
O. Toft Noreng
↑ 85'
29
M. Haheim-Elveseter
↑ 78'
91
S. Davis
↑ 69'
Moss 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Eriksen
2
M. Cassidy
3
K. Strande
🟨 50'
16
W. Kvale
26
E. Chidi
↓ 73'
8
H. Vold Krohg
14
J. Musbaudeen
↓ 69'
21
S. Gronli
20
N. Semmen
9
O. Aga
23
R. Hermanstad
↓ 57'
Substitutes
40
J. Rylander
4
K. Harrison
7
J. Laegreid
↑ 57'
11
T. Jakobsen
17
P. Andersen
↑ 69'
22
J. Ogbole
24
W. Olofsson
↑ 73'
Last matches: Egersund
27.06.26
1.
Egersund
Sogndal
2
4
L
21.06.26
1.
Egersund
Haugesund
5
2
W
14.06.26
1.
Egersund
Stabaek
1
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Egersund
Stromsgodset
0
5
L
25.05.26
1.
Egersund
hodd
1
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Egersund
Lyn
0
0
D
15.05.26
1.
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
2
4
L
11.05.26
1.
Egersund
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
06.05.26
1.
Egersund
Raufoss
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Egersund
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
27.04.26
1.
Egersund
Ranheim
3
0
W
19.04.26
1.
Egersund
Bryne
1
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Egersund
Strommen
3
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Bryne
4
3
W
21.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Haugesund
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Stabaek
1
1
D
27.02.26
Fri
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
3
3
D
15.02.26
Fri
Egersund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Egersund
Vidar
4
1
W
Last matches: Moss
27.06.26
1.
Moss
Strommen
2
3
L
21.06.26
1.
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
4
L
14.06.26
1.
Moss
Sogndal
4
2
W
30.05.26
1.
Moss
Stabaek
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Moss
Haugesund
1
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Moss
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
16.05.26
1.
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
3
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Moss
Bryne
2
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Moss
Ranheim
0
4
L
26.04.26
1.
Moss
Lyn
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Moss
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
12.04.26
1.
Moss
hodd
1
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Moss
Asane
3
2
W
29.03.26
Fri
Moss
Stabaek
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Moss
Lyn
1
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Moss
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
04.03.26
Fri
Moss
Thor Akureyri
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Moss
Raufoss
3
3
D
20.02.26
Fri
Moss
Mjondalen
2
3
L
H2H: Egersund vs Moss
04.07.26
H2H
Egersund
Moss
3
0
W
22.10.25
H2H
Egersund
Moss
2
0
W
28.06.25
H2H
Moss
Egersund
2
4
W
26.08.24
H2H
Egersund
Moss
3
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
Moss
Egersund
1
2
W
08.10.22
H2H
Egersund
Moss
2
2
D
26.06.22
H2H
Moss
Egersund
2
0
L
11.08.19
H2H
Moss
Egersund
6
2
L
28.04.19
H2H
Egersund
Moss
0
1
L
Last matches: Egersund
21.06.26
1.
Egersund
Haugesund
5
2
W
31.05.26
1.
Egersund
Stromsgodset
0
5
L
20.05.26
1.
Egersund
Lyn
0
0
D
11.05.26
1.
Egersund
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
06.05.26
1.
Egersund
Raufoss
2
1
W
27.04.26
1.
Egersund
Ranheim
3
0
W
19.04.26
1.
Egersund
Bryne
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Bryne
4
3
W
27.02.26
Fri
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
3
3
D
31.01.26
Fri
Egersund
Vidar
4
1
W
H2H at home: Egersund
04.07.26
H2H
Egersund
Moss
3
0
W
22.10.25
H2H
Egersund
Moss
2
0
W
26.08.24
H2H
Egersund
Moss
3
2
W
08.10.22
H2H
Egersund
Moss
2
2
D
28.04.19
H2H
Egersund
Moss
0
1
L
Last matches: Moss
27.06.26
1.
Moss
Strommen
2
3
L
14.06.26
1.
Moss
Sogndal
4
2
W
25.05.26
1.
Moss
Haugesund
1
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
3
2
W
01.05.26
1.
Moss
Ranheim
0
4
L
18.04.26
1.
Moss
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
06.04.26
1.
Moss
Asane
3
2
W
29.03.26
Fri
Moss
Stabaek
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Moss
Lyn
1
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Moss
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
04.03.26
Fri
Moss
Thor Akureyri
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Moss
Raufoss
3
3
D
20.02.26
Fri
Moss
Mjondalen
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Moss
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
3
L
H2H away: Moss
04.07.26
H2H
Egersund
Moss
3
0
L
22.10.25
H2H
Egersund
Moss
2
0
L
26.08.24
H2H
Egersund
Moss
3
2
L
08.10.22
H2H
Egersund
Moss
2
2
D
28.04.19
H2H
Egersund
Moss
0
1
W

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 43:26 17 31
W W L W W
2 14 9 3 2 36:21 15 30
W L D W W
3 14 8 4 2 41:22 19 28
L D D W W
4 14 8 3 3 32:16 16 27
W W L W D
5 14 7 3 4 27:19 8 24
L D D L W
6 14 6 3 5 22:19 3 21
W W D L L
7 14 6 2 6 22:20 2 20
D W W W L
8 14 6 2 6 34:34 0 20
L L W L D
9 14 6 1 7 24:25 -1 19
W L W L L
10 14 5 2 7 19:23 -4 17
D L W W W
11
Moss Away
14 5 2 7 23:32 -9 17
L L L W D
12 14 4 3 7 25:36 -11 15
L W L L W
13 14 4 1 9 17:30 -13 13
W L L L L
14 14 4 1 9 17:31 -14 13
W L W L L
15 14 4 1 9 20:30 -10 12
L W L W L
16 14 3 2 9 18:36 -18 11
L W W L D
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation