NORWAY 1. DIVISION
04.07.2026 12:00
XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena
Referee: E. Wisted-Thu
Egersund
Match Timeline
Moss
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
O. Kapskarmo · Assist: P. Hovland
Egersund
33'
O. Kapskarmo · Assist: S. Vatne
Egersund
🟨
50'
K. Strande
Moss
🔄
57'
R. Hermanstad ↔ J. Laegreid
Moss
🟨
59'
O. Kapskarmo
Egersund
🔄
69'
J. Ekeland ↔ J. Lynum
Egersund
🔄
69'
K. Saetherbo ↔ S. Davis
Egersund
🔄
69'
J. Musbaudeen ↔ P. Andersen
Moss
70'
S. Vatne · Assist: J. Lynum
Egersund
🔄
73'
E. Chidi ↔ W. Olofsson
Moss
🔄
78'
S. Vatne ↔ M. Haheim-Elveseter
Egersund
🔄
85'
K. Eggen ↔ H. Kleppa
Egersund
🔄
85'
O. Kapskarmo ↔ O. Toft Noreng
Egersund

Egersund vs Moss Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.2%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Egersund Win 38.8%
Draw 23.8%
Moss Win 37.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Egersund1.92
Moss1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Egersund Egersund
WWDLW
34 GF / 36 GA
Moss Moss
WLDWL
44 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
2.12
12
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Egersund Egersund 19 matches
Moss Moss 25 matches
Egersund Statistic Moss
7 Wins 8
4 Draws 4
8 Losses 13
34 Goals For 44
36 Goals Against 53
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 2.12
12 BTTS Yes 18
16 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 15
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Egersund have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Moss having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Moss. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Egersund Analysis

Egersund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 16 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 19:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Moss Analysis

From their first 12 matches, Moss have collected 17 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Egersund won 5 times, Moss won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Egersund's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.78 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
H2H summary: Egersund wins 5, draws 1, Moss wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 1 5 72:39 33 52
W W W W W
2 23 15 5 3 68:35 33 50
W D W D W
3 23 14 6 3 60:31 29 48
W W D W W
4 23 14 3 6 57:29 28 45
W L L L W
5 23 10 6 7 47:36 11 36
W L D W L
6 23 11 2 10 32:31 1 35
W W L L W
7 23 10 4 9 38:45 -7 34
L L D W L
8 23 8 5 10 36:44 -8 29
L D D D L
9 23 8 4 11 56:58 -2 28
W D D L L
10 23 8 4 11 39:48 -9 28
L W D D W
11
Moss Away
23 7 4 12 38:52 -14 25
W L W L D
12 23 7 4 12 35:52 -17 25
L D W W W
13 23 7 3 13 32:42 -10 24
L L D W L
14 23 6 5 12 38:53 -15 23
L D L L D
15 23 5 5 13 34:52 -18 20
L D D D L
16 23 6 1 16 26:61 -35 19
L W L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation