ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
19.09.2026 14:00
Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh vs Carlisle Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 44.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
44.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Eastleigh Win 39.4%
Draw 15.7%
Carlisle Win 44.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Eastleigh1.19
Carlisle1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Eastleigh Eastleigh
WWDLW
12 GF / 21 GA
Carlisle Carlisle
WLDWL
22 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
2.2
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
7
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Eastleigh Eastleigh 13 matches
Carlisle Carlisle 10 matches
Eastleigh Statistic Carlisle
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
8 Losses 3
12 Goals For 22
21 Goals Against 16
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
7 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Carlisle. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Carlisle having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Eastleigh Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Eastleigh have collected 10 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Carlisle Analysis

Carlisle sit 14 with 8 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 13:10 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Eastleigh won 0 times, Carlisle won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Eastleigh's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
H2H summary: Eastleigh wins 0, draws 1, Carlisle wins 1

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 17:9 8 17
D W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 18:10 8 16
W W W L D
3 7 4 2 1 17:10 7 14
W D W W L
4 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 2 1 14:10 4 14
D W D L W
6 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
W W D W D
7 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
W W L L L
8 7 4 0 3 10:11 -1 12
L L W W L
9 7 4 0 3 7:8 -1 12
L L L W W
10 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
11 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
D L D W W
12 7 2 3 2 15:12 3 9
D L W D W
13 7 3 0 4 12:10 2 9
W L W L W
14 7 3 0 4 5:6 -1 9
L W L L L
15 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
L W W W L
16 7 2 2 3 13:14 -1 8
D D L L W
17 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
W L W D L
18 7 2 1 4 10:12 -2 7
W L L W L
19 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
W L D L W
20 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
L D L L W
21 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D W D L D
22 7 1 2 4 13:19 -6 5
L D L W L
23 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L D L L L
24 7 0 1 6 7:19 -12 1
L D L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation