LITHUANIA A LYGA
17.08.2026 15:45
Telsiai Central Stadium
Referee: D. Rumsas
Džiugas Telšiai
Match Timeline
Suduva Marijampole
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
V. Piliukaitis
Džiugas Telšiai
🟥
21'
D. Bunchukov
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
46'
A. Sabo ↔ M. Mikulenas
Suduva Marijampole
60'
R. Grigalava
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
63'
D. Zevzikovas ↔ Andrezinho
Džiugas Telšiai
🟨
69'
I. Seck
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
72'
J. Wawszczyk ↔ I. E. Scotto
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
72'
V. Piliukaitis ↔ D. Vinckus
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
72'
Pedro Bahia ↔ R. Sobowale
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
72'
F. Tangiri ↔ T. Lucky
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
72'
I. Seck ↔ O. Haydary
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
72'
S. M. Sanokho ↔ D. Antanavicius
Suduva Marijampole
81'
T. Lucky · Assist: E. Stockunas
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
82'
N. Pavlovskij ↔ T. Stelmokas
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
83'
F. Steponavicius ↔ M. Chajia
Suduva Marijampole

Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Džiugas Telšiai Win 34.3%
Draw 8.5%
Suduva Marijampole Win 57.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Džiugas Telšiai1.22
Suduva Marijampole1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai
WWDLW
43 GF / 37 GA
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
WLDWL
47 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
16
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 31 matches
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 28 matches
Džiugas Telšiai Statistic Suduva Marijampole
12 Wins 14
11 Draws 10
8 Losses 4
43 Goals For 47
37 Goals Against 27
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
16 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Suduva Marijampole. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Suduva Marijampole having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Suduva Marijampole look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Džiugas Telšiai Analysis

Placed 2 with 37 points from 23 outings, Džiugas Telšiai continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 34:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Suduva Marijampole Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 36 points from 21 games, Suduva Marijampole bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:17, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Džiugas Telšiai won 4 times, Suduva Marijampole won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:15 from Džiugas Telšiai's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Džiugas Telšiai 5-4-1 / Suduva Marijampole -
H2H summary: Džiugas Telšiai wins 4, draws 5, Suduva Marijampole wins 6

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 9 3 35:18 17 45
W W W W W
2 23 10 9 4 41:16 25 39
D D W W W
3 25 11 6 8 36:32 4 39
W D L W W
4 26 10 8 8 29:25 4 38
L D D W L
5 26 10 8 8 36:33 3 38
D L L W D
6 24 11 4 9 37:29 8 37
L W L W W
7 26 8 5 13 26:41 -15 29
W W L L W
8 26 4 12 10 29:44 -15 24
D D L L L
9 26 3 7 16 24:55 -31 16
L L W L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L