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25.10.2026 15:00
Telsiai Central Stadium
Referee: O. Abramavicius
Džiugas Telšiai
Match Timeline
Panevėžys
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
Pedro Bahia · Assist: D. Bunchukov
Džiugas Telšiai
⚽
35'
I. Asante
Panevėžys
🟨
38'
T. Stelmokas
Džiugas Telšiai
🟨
43'
M. Ramanauskas
Panevėžys
🔄
46'
S. Kouadio ↔ E. Veliulis
Panevėžys
🔄
46'
O. Kurtsev ↔ J. Simon
Panevėžys
🔄
65'
P. Bizoza ↔ N. Petkevicius
Panevėžys
🔄
69'
Andrezinho ↔ V. Piliukaitis
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
69'
D. Vinckus ↔ D. Zevzikovas
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
69'
T. Stelmokas ↔ R. Sobowale
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
75'
L. Krasniqi ↔ M. Bacanin
Panevėžys
🔄
79'
Pedro Bahia ↔ I. E. Scotto
Džiugas Telšiai
⚽
79'
R. Sobowale
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
86'
I. Asante ↔ J. Bopesu
Panevėžys
🟨
90+4'
S. Kerkez
Panevėžys
🔄
90+3'
D. Bunchukov ↔ M. Rutkovskis
Džiugas Telšiai

Džiugas Telšiai vs Panevėžys Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Džiugas Telšiai Win 40.5%
Draw 5.4%
Panevėžys Win 54.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Džiugas Telšiai1.29
Panevėžys1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai
D L L D L
5 GF / 14 GA
Panevėžys Panevėžys
W W W L W
9 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
18
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 37 matches
Panevėžys Panevėžys 41 matches
Džiugas Telšiai Statistic Panevėžys
12 Wins 18
13 Draws 8
12 Losses 15
48 Goals For 51
53 Goals Against 52
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
18 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 32
16 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 10
11 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Panevėžys having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Panevėžys. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Panevėžys look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Džiugas Telšiai Analysis

With 39 points from 29 games and a place of 6, Džiugas Telšiai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 39:43, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Panevėžys Analysis

Panevėžys are currently 7 in the standings with 35 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 31:44 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Džiugas Telšiai won 4 times, Panevėžys won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from Džiugas Telšiai's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
H2H summary: Džiugas Telšiai wins 4, draws 7, Panevėžys wins 3

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 16 10 6 62:25 37 58
L W D W W
2 32 15 11 6 43:32 11 56
W W L L D
3 32 16 6 10 51:36 15 54
W D W W L
4 32 15 7 10 52:40 12 52
W L W D W
5 32 11 9 12 35:34 1 42
L L D L W
6 32 11 9 12 43:48 -5 42
L L W D L
7 32 11 5 16 34:48 -14 38
L W L W L
8 32 4 14 14 33:58 -25 26
L L L D D
9 32 5 9 18 28:60 -32 24
W W D L D
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L