LITHUANIA A LYGA
--.--.---- --:--
Telsiai Central Stadium
Džiugas Telšiai
Match Timeline
Hegelmann Litauen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
D. Vinckus
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
19'
M. Rutkovskis ↔ I. E. Scotto
Džiugas Telšiai
🟨
35'
B. Isaac
Hegelmann Litauen
🟨
44'
Nathan Silva
Hegelmann Litauen
53'
D. Tibell · Assist: D. Kazlauskas
Hegelmann Litauen
🟨
55'
Wesley
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
57'
Richard ↔ M. Remeikis
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
57'
B. Isaac ↔ A. Puerto
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
68'
D. Kazlauskas ↔ A. Kaulinis
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
68'
A. Shchedryi ↔ E. Kausinis
Hegelmann Litauen
🟨
72'
L. Ankudinovas
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
77'
Pedro Bahia ↔ A. Ouattara
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
77'
L. Ankudinovas ↔ D. Zevzikovas
Džiugas Telšiai
🔄
80'
V. Radonja ↔ R. Sadauskas
Hegelmann Litauen
86'
R. Sobowale
Džiugas Telšiai
88'
D. Tibell
Hegelmann Litauen
🟨
90'
D. Tibell
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
90'
N. Pavlovskij ↔ T. Stelmokas
Džiugas Telšiai

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.4%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.97
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.4%
1.30
BTTS Yes
75%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
1.97
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Džiugas Telšiai Win 51%
Draw 23.4%
Hegelmann Litauen Win 25.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Džiugas Telšiai1.4
Hegelmann Litauen1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai
WWDLW
43 GF / 41 GA
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
WLDWL
38 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
16
BTTS Yes
22
13
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 33 matches
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 34 matches
Džiugas Telšiai Statistic Hegelmann Litauen
12 Wins 8
11 Draws 13
10 Losses 13
43 Goals For 38
41 Goals Against 53
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
16 BTTS Yes 22
23 Over 1.5 30
13 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Džiugas Telšiai's more proactive style and Hegelmann Litauen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Džiugas Telšiai arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 37 points compared to Hegelmann Litauen in 7 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hegelmann Litauen having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hegelmann Litauen. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Džiugas Telšiai Analysis

Džiugas Telšiai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 37 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 34:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Hegelmann Litauen Analysis

Hegelmann Litauen sit 7 with 23 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 27:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Džiugas Telšiai won 1 times, Hegelmann Litauen won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:22 from Džiugas Telšiai's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.6%)
H2H summary: Džiugas Telšiai wins 1, draws 4, Hegelmann Litauen wins 10

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 9 3 35:18 17 45
W W W W W
2 23 10 9 4 41:16 25 39
D D W W W
3 25 11 6 8 36:32 4 39
W D L W W
4 25 10 8 7 29:22 7 38
D D W L W
5 26 10 8 8 36:33 3 38
D L L W D
6 24 11 4 9 37:29 8 37
L W L W W
7 25 7 5 13 23:41 -18 26
W L L W D
8 26 4 12 10 29:44 -15 24
D D L L L
9 26 3 7 16 24:55 -31 16
L L W L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L