RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
06.09.2026 15:30
VTB Arena
Referee: Kirill Levnikov, Russia
Dynamo
Match Timeline
Spartak Moscow
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
D. Prutsev · Assist: Marquinhos
Spartak Moscow
25'
Y. Gladyshev
Dynamo
34'
Arthur Gomes · Assist: J. Caceres
Dynamo
🟨
37'
Juan Cáceres
Dynamo
🟨
45'
Nail Umyarov
Spartak Moscow
🔄
63'
P. Solari ↔ P. Polekh
Spartak Moscow
🟥
72'
Konstantin Tyukavin
Dynamo
🟨
72'
Alexander Djiku
Spartak Moscow
🔄
72'
L. Chavez ↔ D. Fomin
Dynamo
🔄
75'
V. Parada ↔ M. Daku
Spartak Moscow
🔄
77'
Arthur Gomes ↔ N. Marichal
Dynamo
🔄
77'
Y. Gladyshev ↔ I. Sergeev
Dynamo
🔄
83'
G. Fernandes ↔ D. Denisov
Spartak Moscow
🔄
83'
D. Prutsev ↔ I. Sorokin
Spartak Moscow
🔄
83'
R. Zobnin ↔ I. Dmitriev
Spartak Moscow
🟨
86'
Christopher Wooh
Spartak Moscow
🟨
90+7'
Mirlind Daku
Spartak Moscow
VAR
90'
Ivan Sorokin
Spartak Moscow
🔄
90+4'
Bitello ↔ T. Marinkin
Dynamo

Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.9%
Odds 2.82
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.59
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.9%
2.82
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.59
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.79
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.80
Probability Distribution
Dynamo Win 64.9%
Draw 3.7%
Spartak Moscow Win 31.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dynamo1.51
Spartak Moscow1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dynamo Dynamo
WWDLW
35 GF / 21 GA
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
WLDWL
26 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
11
BTTS Yes
8
11
Over 2.5
7
5.67
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dynamo Dynamo 18 matches
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 15 matches
Dynamo Statistic Spartak Moscow
9 Wins 10
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 2
35 Goals For 26
21 Goals Against 13
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
11 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 12
11 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
5.67 Shots On Goal 5
15.67 Total Shots 14.67
5.33 Corners 7
62.3% Ball Possession 62.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Spartak Moscow. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Spartak Moscow carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 12 points while Dynamo sit 5 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Spartak Moscow look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dynamo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Spartak Moscow in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Spartak Moscow having the stronger overall control.

Dynamo Analysis

Dynamo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 10 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 8:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Konstantin Tyukavin (2 goals), Arthur Gomes (1 goals), Anton Miranchuk (1 goals), with creative support from Bitello (1 assists), Maksim Osipenko (1 assists), Ivan Sergeev (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Spartak Moscow Analysis

Spartak Moscow come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 12 points after 5 matches. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:4, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Manfred Ugalde (2 goals), Christopher Wooh (1 goals), Pablo Solari (1 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo won 3 times, Spartak Moscow won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Dynamo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Dynamo 4-3-3 / Spartak Moscow 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Dynamo 3, Spartak Moscow 6
H2H summary: Dynamo wins 3, draws 4, Spartak Moscow wins 8

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 14:7 7 21
D D D W W
2 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
3 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
4 9 6 1 2 16:7 9 19
W W L D W
5 9 6 0 3 19:9 10 18
W W L W L
6 9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
7 9 4 0 5 15:16 -1 12
L L W L L
8 9 3 2 4 14:12 2 11
L D L W D
9 9 2 5 2 13:14 -1 11
D W D D W
10 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
L W D D W
11 9 1 6 2 7:10 -3 9
D L D D D
12 9 2 2 5 10:17 -7 8
L L W L L
13 9 1 5 3 11:18 -7 8
W D D D L
14 9 1 4 4 8:11 -3 7
D L W L L
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16 9 0 3 6 6:13 -7 3
L D L L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL