RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
VTB Arena
Referee: I. Tanashev
Dynamo
Match Timeline
FC Krasnodar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Konstantin Tyukavin
Dynamo
32'
Diego Costa · Assist: E. Spertsyan
FC Krasnodar
48'
K. Tyukavin · Assist: J. Caceres
Dynamo
🔄
59'
Arthur Gomes ↔ A. Miranchuk
Dynamo
🔄
59'
A. Chernikov ↔ Douglas Augusto
FC Krasnodar
🔄
60'
Bitello ↔ U. Babaev
Dynamo
🔄
64'
Joao Batxi ↔ J. Boselli
FC Krasnodar
🔄
70'
K. Tyukavin ↔ I. Sergeev
Dynamo
🔄
83'
D. Glebov ↔ L. Chavez
Dynamo
🔄
83'
N. Moumi Ngamaleu ↔ Y. Gladyshev
Dynamo
🔄
83'
E. Spertsyan ↔ Jubal Junior
FC Krasnodar
🟨
86'
Ivan Sergeev
Dynamo
🟨
90+3'
Maksim Osipenko
Dynamo
🟨
90+1'
Jhon Córdoba
FC Krasnodar
90'
I. Sergeev · Assist: Y. Gladyshev
Dynamo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 40.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
40.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dynamo Win 32.6%
Draw 8.4%
FC Krasnodar Win 58.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dynamo1.31
FC Krasnodar1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dynamo Dynamo
WWDLW
47 GF / 38 GA
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
WLDWL
56 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
2
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
18
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
15
4.75
Shots on Goal
4.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dynamo Dynamo 28 matches
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 28 matches
Dynamo Statistic FC Krasnodar
10 Wins 19
9 Draws 6
9 Losses 3
47 Goals For 56
38 Goals Against 21
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
18 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 12
4 Failed To Score 2
4.75 Shots On Goal 4.82
15.54 Total Shots 15.54
5.57 Corners 5.14
55% Ball Possession 59.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. FC Krasnodar seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. FC Krasnodar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 63 points while Dynamo sit 8 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Krasnodar.

Dynamo Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Dynamo have collected 39 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 47:38 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Sergeev (8 goals), Bitello (7 goals), K. Tyukavin (7 goals), with creative support from Bitello (8 assists), J. Caceres (5 assists), K. Tyukavin (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with B. Zaynutdinov, Rubens unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

FC Krasnodar Analysis

FC Krasnodar come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 63 points after 28 matches. With 19 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 56:21, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Cordoba (16 goals), E. Spertsyan (12 goals), Nikita Krivtsov (7 goals), with creative support from E. Spertsyan (15 assists), J. Cordoba (5 assists), Joao Batxi (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Koksharov, V. Stezhko, G. Gonzalez unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo won 3 times, FC Krasnodar won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:21 from Dynamo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Dynamo 4-2-3-1 / FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Dynamo 2, FC Krasnodar 4
H2H summary: Dynamo wins 3, draws 4, FC Krasnodar wins 8
Stats
Dynamo Dynamo
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 6
16 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 4
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Goalkeeper Saves 3
300 Total passes 397
216 Passes accurate 306
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Dynamo
Formation
FC Krasnodar
A. Lunev
A. Lunev
J. Caceres
🎯
J. Caceres
N. Marichal
N. Marichal
M. Osipenko
M. Osipenko
D. Skopintsev
D. Skopintsev
D. Glebov
D. Glebov
T. Marinkin
T. Marinkin
N. Moumi Ngamaleu
N. Moumi Ngamaleu
Bitello
Bitello
Arthur Gomes
Arthur Gomes
K. Tyukavin
K. Tyukavin
S. Agkatsev
S. Agkatsev
V. Paltsev
V. Paltsev
Tormena
Tormena
Diego Costa
Diego Costa
L. Olaza
L. Olaza
A. Chernikov
A. Chernikov
K. Lenini
K. Lenini
Joao Batxi
Joao Batxi
E. Spertsyan
🎯
E. Spertsyan
N. Krivtsov
N. Krivtsov
J. Cordoba
J. Cordoba
Dynamo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
A. Lunev
G
4
J. Caceres
🎯 48'
D
2
N. Marichal
D
55
M. Osipenko
🟨 90+3'
D
7
D. Skopintsev
D
15
D. Glebov
↓ 83'
M
60
T. Marinkin
M
13
N. Moumi Ngamaleu
↓ 83'
M
10
Bitello
↓ 60'
M
11
Arthur Gomes
↓ 59'
M
70
K. Tyukavin
⚽ 48' ↓ 70' 🟨 30'
F
Substitutes
40
K. Rasulov
G
31
I. Leshchuk
G
21
A. Miranchuk
↑ 59'
M
24
L. Chavez
↑ 83'
M
74
D. Fomin
M
33
I. Sergeev
⚽ 90' ↑ 70' 🟨 86'
F
91
Y. Gladyshev
🎯 90' ↑ 83'
F
17
U. Babaev
↑ 60'
F
57
David Ricardo
D
88
V. Okishor
M
6
R. Fernandez
D
5
M. Majstorovic
D
FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
S. Agkatsev
G
17
V. Paltsev
D
3
Tormena
D
4
Diego Costa
⚽ 32'
D
15
L. Olaza
D
53
A. Chernikov
↓ 59'
M
6
K. Lenini
M
11
Joao Batxi
↓ 64'
M
10
E. Spertsyan
🎯 32' ↓ 83'
M
88
N. Krivtsov
M
9
J. Cordoba
🟨 90+1'
F
Substitutes
16
A. Koryakin
G
34
A. Karpenko
G
23
J. Boselli
↑ 64'
F
59
A. Khmarin
D
27
E. Burkin
M
5
Jubal Junior
↑ 83'
D
66
Douglas Augusto
↑ 59'
M
90
M. D. Cobnan
F
Last matches: Dynamo
25.07.26
Pre
Dynamo
Krylia Sovetov
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
5
2
W
18.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Akron
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Dinamo Moskva II
10
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Dynamo
Torpedo Moskva
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Dynamo
Baltika
2
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Sochi
2
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Rubin
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Akron
3
2
W
04.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
Zenit
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Rostov
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
4
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
Krylia Sovetov
4
0
W
16.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
Ural
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Krasnodar
19.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
3
3
D
25.06.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
PSK Dinskaya
5
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
3
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akron
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Amkal
4
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
5
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
2
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
0
1
L
10.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
3
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
27.01.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Yelimay Semey
2
1
W
H2H: Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar
11.05.26
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
2
1
W
07.05.26
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
0
0
D
08.04.26
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
0
0
D
10.02.26
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
1
0
W
30.09.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
0
0
D
13.08.25
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
0
4
L
02.08.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
1
0
L
24.05.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
3
0
L
21.02.25
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
04.02.25
H2H
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
1
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
25.05.24
H2H
Krasnodar
Dinamo Moscow
1
0
L
19.09.23
H2H
Krasnodar
Dinamo Moscow
1
1
D
09.08.23
H2H
Dinamo Moscow
Krasnodar
4
3
L
21.07.23
H2H
Dinamo Moscow
Krasnodar
1
3
W
Last matches: Dynamo
25.07.26
Pre
Dynamo
Krylia Sovetov
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
CSKA Moscow
5
2
W
10.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Dinamo Moskva II
10
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Dynamo
Torpedo Moskva
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Sochi
2
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
Rubin
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
Zenit
1
3
L
01.03.26
Pre
Dynamo
Krylia Sovetov
4
0
W
10.02.26
Fri
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
1
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
Dynamo
Chengdu Better City
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Dynamo
Shanghai Shenhua
2
2
D
23.11.25
Pre
Dynamo
Dinamo Makhachkala
3
0
W
08.11.25
Pre
Dynamo
Akron
1
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
Dynamo
Akhmat
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pre
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
3
5
L
13.09.25
Pre
Dynamo
Spartak Moscow
2
2
D
23.08.25
Pre
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
3
0
W
H2H at home: Dynamo
11.05.26
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
2
1
W
08.04.26
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
0
0
D
10.02.26
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
1
0
W
13.08.25
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
0
4
L
21.02.25
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
25.08.24
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
Last matches: FC Krasnodar
03.05.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akron
1
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
0
1
L
03.02.26
Fri
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
23.11.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Krylia Sovetov
6
0
W
10.08.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
20.07.25
Pre
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
3
0
W
H2H away: FC Krasnodar
11.05.26
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
2
1
L
08.04.26
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
0
0
D
10.02.26
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
1
0
L
13.08.25
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
0
4
W
21.02.25
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
1
2
W
25.08.24
H2H
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
0
1
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Dynamo 2 missing
-
B. Zaynutdinov
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Rubens
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
FC Krasnodar 4 missing
-
A. Koksharov
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
V. Stezhko
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
G. Gonzalez
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Victor Sa
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT