Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
75.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Dundee
ST Mirren
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dundee
34 matches
ST Mirren
34 matches
| Dundee | Statistic | ST Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 17 | Losses | 18 |
| 34 | Goals For | 27 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.79 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 3.15 | Shots On Goal | 3.44 |
| 9.91 | Total Shots | 11.82 |
| 3.74 | Corners | 5.65 |
| 43.3% | Ball Possession | 45.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward ST Mirren. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dundee expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and ST Mirren in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ST Mirren having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Dundee sit 3 with 33 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats with a 34:56 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Fatah (8 goals), Zachary Sapsford (8 goals), Simon Murray (7 goals), with creative support from C. Congreve (7 assists), W. Ferry (6 assists), L. Stephenson (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
ST Mirren sit 4 with 30 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 18 defeats with a 27:50 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alexander Gogić (4 goals), M. Freckleton (4 goals), M. Mandron (4 goals), with creative support from D. John (5 assists), M. Mandron (4 assists), S. Tanser (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dundee won 6 times, ST Mirren won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Dundee's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Dundee
5
6
2
3
3
2
Lineups
Dundee
Aberdeen
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Livingston
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Celtic
Dundee
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Motherwell
Dundee
Hibernian
Dundee
Aberdeen
Dundee
Livingston
Dundee
Falkirk
Dundee
ST Mirren
Dundee
Rangers
Dundee
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Falkirk
Dundee
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Partick
ST Mirren
Partick
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Celtic
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Falkirk
ST Mirren
Rangers
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Hibernian
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Dundee
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Falkirk
Dundee
Aberdeen
Dundee
Livingston
Dundee
Celtic
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Motherwell
Dundee
Hibernian
Dundee
Livingston
Dundee
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Falkirk
Dundee
Aberdeen
Dundee
ST Mirren
Dundee
Rangers
Dundee
Celtic
Dundee
Livingston
Dundee
Motherwell
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Hibernian
ST Mirren
Partick
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Celtic
ST Mirren
Falkirk
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Hibernian
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Rangers
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Dundee
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Falkirk
ST Mirren
Hibernian
ST Mirren
Celtic
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 82 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 1 | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 49:60 | -11 | 45 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67:34 | 33 | 80 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Dundee
Home
|
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42:61 | -19 | 42 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 76:43 | 33 | 72 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 40:55 | -15 | 40 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 59:36 | 23 | 61 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 50:68 | -18 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 58:44 | 14 | 57 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
ST Mirren
Away
|
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 30:55 | -25 | 34 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 50:62 | -12 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 2 | 15 | 21 | 40:75 | -35 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
W
|