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SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
17.10.2026 19:00
Dens Park
Referee: Duncan Nicolson
Dundee
Match Timeline
Rangers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
37'
Bradley·Fink
Dundee
⚽
42'
Badredine Bouanani
Rangers
⚽
60'
Nicolas Raskin · Assist: Dan Neil
Rangers
🔄
66'
Joseph Bevan ↔ Alfie Harrison
Dundee
🟨
68'
Ethan Hamilton
Dundee
⚽
69'
Callum Jones
Dundee
🔄
76'
Badredine Bouanani ↔ Findlay Curtis
Rangers
🔄
76'
Min-su Kim ↔ Kevin Kelsy
Rangers
🟨
77'
Dujon Sterling
Rangers
🟨
77'
Ashley Hay
Dundee
🟨
84'
Nicolas Raskin
Rangers

Dundee vs Rangers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dundee Win 33.3%
Draw 19.3%
Rangers Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dundee0.97
Rangers1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dundee Dundee
W W L D L
7 GF / 7 GA
Rangers Rangers
W W W W W
8 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
8
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
5
4.63
Shots on Goal
4.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dundee Dundee 13 matches
Rangers Rangers 14 matches
Dundee Statistic Rangers
5 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 3
15 Goals For 16
18 Goals Against 10
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
4.63 Shots On Goal 4.92
12.75 Total Shots 15
5.13 Corners 5.92
41.8% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rangers look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rangers. Rangers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 16 points while Dundee sit 4 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dundee expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Rangers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rangers having the stronger overall control.

Dundee Analysis

Placed 4 with 10 points from 7 outings, Dundee continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 9:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Westley (3 goals), J. Randall (2 goals), B. Fink (2 goals), with creative support from J. Randall (2 assists), M. Merghem (2 assists), W. Ferry (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Rangers Analysis

Rangers approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 16 points after 7 outings. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 8:4, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through L. Shankland (3 goals), R. Naderi (2 goals), Thelo Aasgaard (1 goals), with creative support from R. Naderi (1 assists), D. Gassama (1 assists), R. McCrorie (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dundee won 0 times, Rangers won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:38 from Dundee's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.7%)
Predicted formations: Dundee 4-4-2 / Rangers 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dundee wins 0, draws 3, Rangers wins 12

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 25:6 19 27
W W W L W
2 10 7 2 1 17:7 10 23
W D W W W
3 10 6 1 3 22:15 7 19
W L W D L
4 10 4 3 3 14:14 0 15
W D W W D
5 10 4 2 4 14:12 2 14
L D W W L
6 10 4 1 5 11:18 -7 13
W L L L L
7 10 3 3 4 12:12 0 12
W W L D W
8 10 3 3 4 11:15 -4 12
L D W D L
9 10 3 2 5 12:13 -1 11
L W L D W
10 10 2 2 6 11:18 -7 8
L L L L L
11 10 2 2 6 10:23 -13 8
L W L D W
12 10 2 1 7 10:16 -6 7
L L L D L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)