Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
59.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Dundee
Aberdeen
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dundee
37 matches
Aberdeen
45 matches
| Dundee | Statistic | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 11 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 18 | Losses | 24 |
| 39 | Goals For | 43 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 71 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 21 |
| 3.19 | Shots On Goal | 3.36 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 11.18 |
| 3.81 | Corners | 4.56 |
| 43.3% | Ball Possession | 46.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dundee expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Aberdeen in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aberdeen having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aberdeen.
Dundee come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 39 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses, while the 38:56 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Fatah (8 goals), Zachary Sapsford (8 goals), Simon Murray (7 goals), with creative support from C. Congreve (7 assists), W. Ferry (6 assists), L. Stephenson (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Aberdeen come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 40 points after 36 matches. With 11 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats plus a goal balance of 38:50, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Kevin Nisbet (9 goals), J. Karlsson (5 goals), Marko Lazetić (4 goals), with creative support from Stuart Armstrong (5 assists), Topi Keskinen (3 assists), T. Olusanya (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dundee won 4 times, Aberdeen won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:28 from Dundee's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Dundee
6
2
2
4
3
3
Lineups
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Livingston
Dundee
ST Mirren
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Celtic
Dundee
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Motherwell
Dundee
Hibernian
Dundee
Aberdeen
Dundee
Livingston
Dundee
Falkirk
Dundee
ST Mirren
Dundee
Rangers
Dundee
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Falkirk
Dundee
Motherwell
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Livingston
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
Rangers
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Aberdeen
Celtic
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Dundee
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Livingston
Aberdeen
Rangers
Aberdeen
Rangers
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Livingston
Dundee
ST Mirren
Dundee
Celtic
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Motherwell
Dundee
Hibernian
Dundee
Livingston
Dundee
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Falkirk
Dundee
Aberdeen
Dundee
ST Mirren
Dundee
Rangers
Dundee
Celtic
Dundee
Livingston
Dundee
Motherwell
Dundee
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Livingston
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
Rangers
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Rangers
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Celtic
Aberdeen
Sparta Praha
Aberdeen
Dundee
Aberdeen
Livingston
Aberdeen
AEK Larnaca
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
AEK Athens FC
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 82 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 1 | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 49:60 | -11 | 45 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67:34 | 33 | 80 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Dundee
Home
|
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42:61 | -19 | 42 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 76:43 | 33 | 72 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 |
Aberdeen
Away
|
38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 40:55 | -15 | 40 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 59:36 | 23 | 61 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 50:68 | -18 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 58:44 | 14 | 57 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 30:55 | -25 | 34 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 50:62 | -12 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 2 | 15 | 21 | 40:75 | -35 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
W
|