Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.7%
|
2.04 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
1.69 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.12 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dundalk
32 matches
St Patrick's Athl.
33 matches
| Dundalk | Statistic | St Patrick's Athl. |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 16 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 53 | Goals For | 53 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.61 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 5.2 | Shots On Goal | 5.2 |
| 15.9 | Total Shots | 15.83 |
| 5.9 | Corners | 5.43 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 52.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors St Patrick's Athl.. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dundalk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St Patrick's Athl. in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St Patrick's Athl. having the stronger overall control.
Placed 4 with 40 points from 29 outings, Dundalk continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, while the 46:45 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Daryl Horgan (8 goals), Tyreke Wilson (4 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), with creative support from Daryl Horgan (4 assists), Eoin Kenny (3 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 50 points after 29 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 45:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kian Leavy (4 goals), Ryan Edmondson (4 goals), Zac Elbouzedi (3 goals), with creative support from Zac Elbouzedi (3 assists), Luke Turner (3 assists), Aidan Keena (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk won 4 times, St Patrick's Athl. won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Dundalk's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St Patrick's Athl.
Away
|
32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 27 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 18 | 56 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 3 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Dundalk
Home
|
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 6 | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41:44 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 37 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | -10 | 34 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | -30 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
D
|