IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
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Oriel Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Dundalk Win 0%
Draw 0%
St Patrick's Athl. Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dundalk1.34
St Patrick's Athl.1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dundalk Dundalk
WWDLW
49 GF / 46 GA
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
WLDWL
51 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
23
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
12
5.36
Shots on Goal
5.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dundalk Dundalk 30 matches
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 31 matches
Dundalk Statistic St Patrick's Athl.
10 Wins 15
10 Draws 9
10 Losses 7
49 Goals For 51
46 Goals Against 28
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
23 BTTS Yes 14
27 Over 1.5 24
19 Over 2.5 12
11 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 11
2 Failed To Score 9
5.36 Shots On Goal 5.18
16.14 Total Shots 16.04
6.18 Corners 5.5
50.4% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk won 4 times, St Patrick's Athl. won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Dundalk's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Dundalk 4-2-3-1 / St Patrick's Athl. 3-5-2
H2H summary: Dundalk wins 4, draws 5, St Patrick's Athl. wins 6
Last matches: Dundalk
21.08.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
2
L
07.08.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
31.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
10.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
26.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
2
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
3
3
D
01.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
3
2
W
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
21.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
2
4
L
10.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
H2H: Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.
24.07.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
1
D
06.04.26
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
27.02.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
4
0
L
05.09.24
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
2
L
03.06.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
2
3
W
12.04.24
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
08.03.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
0
L
22.09.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
3
1
L
26.06.23
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
26.05.23
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
2
1
L
03.03.23
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
5
0
W
07.10.22
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
2
L
15.07.22
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
1
D
27.05.22
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
08.04.22
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
0
D
Last matches: Dundalk
21.08.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
2
L
31.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
10.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
2
L
26.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
2
3
L
29.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
3
L
01.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
5
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
H2H at home: Dundalk
06.04.26
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
05.09.24
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
2
L
12.04.24
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
26.06.23
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.03.23
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
5
0
W
07.10.22
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
2
L
27.05.22
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
21.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
2
4
L
10.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
26.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
2
D
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
0
D
16.01.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Bray Wanderers
3
0
W
14.08.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
2
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
17.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
2
0
W
H2H away: St Patrick's Athl.
06.04.26
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
L
05.09.24
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
2
W
12.04.24
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
26.06.23
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.03.23
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
5
0
L
07.10.22
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
2
W
27.05.22
H2H
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
L

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 6 5 43:24 19 54
W D W W D
2 28 14 8 6 45:23 22 50
W W D D D
3 28 13 8 7 47:34 13 47
W L D W W
4 28 9 10 9 43:43 0 37
L L D D L
5 26 8 10 8 36:38 -2 34
L L W D L
6 28 7 12 9 38:37 1 33
L W D L W
7 27 8 9 10 35:41 -6 33
W D D D W
8 28 6 11 11 37:48 -11 29
D W W D D
9 28 6 10 12 31:45 -14 28
L D D D W
10 28 5 8 15 23:45 -22 23
D L D D L
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation