Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
77.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dundalk
27 matches
Sligo Rovers
32 matches
| Dundalk | Statistic | Sligo Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 17 |
| 45 | Goals For | 35 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 5.4 | Shots On Goal | 2.64 |
| 15.32 | Total Shots | 9.44 |
| 5.84 | Corners | 3.48 |
| 49.1% | Ball Possession | 45.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Dundalk's more proactive style and Sligo Rovers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sligo Rovers. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Dundalk arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 35 points compared to Sligo Rovers in 10 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Dundalk approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 35 points from 24 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 38:36, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through D. Horgan (4 goals), Tyreke Wilson (4 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (3 assists), Eoin Kenny (3 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
With 20 points from 24 games and a place of 10, Sligo Rovers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 20:40, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through W. Fitzgerald (3 goals), A. Meekison (2 goals), Cian Kavanagh (1 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (3 assists), A. Meekison (2 assists), Cian Kavanagh (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk won 6 times, Sligo Rovers won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Dundalk's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Dundalk
6
3
12
1
11
2
Lineups
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Coleraine FC
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Treaty United
Sligo Rovers
Finn Harps
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 54 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45:23 | 22 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:34 | 13 | 47 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Home
|
28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 37 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 5 | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36:38 | -2 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35:41 | -6 | 33 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 37:48 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 28 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Sligo Rovers
Away
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23:45 | -22 | 23 |
D
L
D
D
L
|