IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Oriel Park
Referee: N. Doyle
Dundalk
Match Timeline
Sligo Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Luke Pearce
Sligo Rovers
🔄
36'
L. Pearce ↔ S. Quirk
Sligo Rovers
53'
D. Horgan · Assist: H. Groome
Dundalk
🔄
63'
H. Groome ↔ T. Grivosti
Dundalk
🔄
63'
J. McManus ↔ D. Patton
Sligo Rovers
🔄
64'
J. Shorrock ↔ T. George
Sligo Rovers
🟨
66'
Carl McHugh
Sligo Rovers
🔄
71'
T. Clarke ↔ D. McDaid
Dundalk
🔄
71'
K. Buckley ↔ L. Gaxha
Dundalk
🟨
73'
Jeannot Esua
Sligo Rovers
🔄
81'
S. Stewart ↔ K. McDonagh
Sligo Rovers
🔄
87'
C. Dillon ↔ E. Vassenin
Dundalk
🟨
90'
Robert Cornwall
Dundalk
90'
G. McElroy
Sligo Rovers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.7%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dundalk Win 58.7%
Draw 19.3%
Sligo Rovers Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dundalk1.6
Sligo Rovers1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dundalk Dundalk
WWDLW
45 GF / 40 GA
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WLDWL
35 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
20
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
17
5.4
Shots on Goal
2.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dundalk Dundalk 27 matches
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 32 matches
Dundalk Statistic Sligo Rovers
10 Wins 9
9 Draws 6
8 Losses 17
45 Goals For 35
40 Goals Against 48
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
20 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 12
5.4 Shots On Goal 2.64
15.32 Total Shots 9.44
5.84 Corners 3.48
49.1% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Dundalk's more proactive style and Sligo Rovers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sligo Rovers. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Dundalk arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 35 points compared to Sligo Rovers in 10 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Dundalk Analysis

Dundalk approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 35 points from 24 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 38:36, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through D. Horgan (4 goals), Tyreke Wilson (4 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (3 assists), Eoin Kenny (3 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

With 20 points from 24 games and a place of 10, Sligo Rovers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 20:40, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through W. Fitzgerald (3 goals), A. Meekison (2 goals), Cian Kavanagh (1 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (3 assists), A. Meekison (2 assists), Cian Kavanagh (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk won 6 times, Sligo Rovers won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Dundalk's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.7%)
Predicted formations: Dundalk 4-2-3-1 / Sligo Rovers 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dundalk wins 6, draws 3, Sligo Rovers wins 6
Stats
Dundalk Dundalk
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
11
Blocked Shots
2
10 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 3
61% Ball Possession 39%
29 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 3
12 Shots off Goal 1
11 Blocked Shots 2
17 Shots insidebox 6
12 Shots outsidebox 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
456 Total passes 302
340 Passes accurate 171
1.78 expected_goals 1.41
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Dundalk
Formation
Sligo Rovers
E. Minogue
E. Minogue
B. Burns
B. Burns
M. Animasahun
M. Animasahun
R. Cornwall
R. Cornwall
R. Teahan
R. Teahan
K. Buckley
K. Buckley
A. Dervin
A. Dervin
T. Clarke
T. Clarke
H. Groome
🎯
H. Groome
D. Horgan
D. Horgan
C. Dillon
C. Dillon
S. Sargeant
S. Sargeant
J. Esua
J. Esua
O. Denham
O. Denham
G. McElroy
G. McElroy
S. Stewart
S. Stewart
L. Pearce
L. Pearce
J. McManus
J. McManus
C. McHugh
C. McHugh
J. Shorrock
J. Shorrock
C. Kavanagh
C. Kavanagh
J. McGonigle
J. McGonigle
Dundalk 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Minogue
G
3
B. Burns
D
4
M. Animasahun
D
24
R. Cornwall
🟨 90'
D
11
R. Teahan
D
18
K. Buckley
↓ 71'
M
6
A. Dervin
M
15
T. Clarke
↓ 71'
M
8
H. Groome
🎯 53' ↓ 63'
M
7
D. Horgan
⚽ 53'
M
9
C. Dillon
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
13
P. Cherrie
G
20
S. Safaei
G
27
D. McDaid
↑ 71'
M
12
L. Mulligan
D
44
T. Grivosti
↑ 63'
D
10
L. Gaxha
↑ 71'
F
16
E. Vassenin
↑ 87'
D
19
S. Spaight
D
25
S. Casey
M
Sligo Rovers 4-4-2
Starting XI
29
S. Sargeant
G
33
J. Esua
🟨 73'
D
15
O. Denham
D
52
G. McElroy
⚽ 90'
D
3
S. Stewart
↓ 81'
D
9
L. Pearce
↓ 36' 🟨 9'
M
14
J. McManus
↓ 63'
M
16
C. McHugh
🟨 66'
M
7
J. Shorrock
↓ 64'
M
11
C. Kavanagh
F
18
J. McGonigle
F
Substitutes
1
L. Hughes
G
4
S. Quirk
↑ 36'
M
20
T. George
↑ 64'
M
71
D. Patton
↑ 63'
M
61
C. Cannon
28
R. O'Kane
F
19
A. Nolan
M
23
K. McDonagh
↑ 81'
24
J. O'Donnell
F
Last matches: Dundalk
21.08.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
2
L
07.08.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
24.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
10.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
26.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
2
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
3
3
D
01.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
1
D
Last matches: Sligo Rovers
21.08.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
0
D
07.08.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
0
2
L
25.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
2
2
D
14.07.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Coleraine FC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
27.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
2
2
D
19.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
1
3
L
22.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
1
4
L
08.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
H2H: Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
31.07.26
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
25.04.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
L
16.03.26
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
18.07.25
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
21.09.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
2
1
L
13.06.24
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
19.04.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
04.03.24
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
5
L
20.10.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
0
2
W
11.08.23
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
W
07.04.23
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
21.10.22
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
3
3
D
29.08.22
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
L
15.04.22
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
Last matches: Dundalk
21.08.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
2
L
10.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
2
L
26.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
2
3
L
29.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
3
L
01.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
5
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
H2H at home: Dundalk
31.07.26
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
16.03.26
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
18.07.25
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
13.06.24
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
04.03.24
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
5
L
11.08.23
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
07.04.23
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
21.10.22
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
3
3
D
15.04.22
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
Last matches: Sligo Rovers
07.08.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
0
2
L
11.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
2
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
4
L
22.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
16.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Treaty United
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Finn Harps
0
1
L
H2H away: Sligo Rovers
31.07.26
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
16.03.26
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
L
18.07.25
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
W
13.06.24
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
L
04.03.24
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
5
W
11.08.23
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
L
07.04.23
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
2
W
21.10.22
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
3
3
D
15.04.22
H2H
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
2
1
L

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 6 5 43:24 19 54
W D W W D
2 28 14 8 6 45:23 22 50
W W D D D
3 28 13 8 7 47:34 13 47
W L D W W
4 28 9 10 9 43:43 0 37
L L D D L
5 26 8 10 8 36:38 -2 34
L L W D L
6 28 7 12 9 38:37 1 33
L W D L W
7 27 8 9 10 35:41 -6 33
W D D D W
8 28 6 11 11 37:48 -11 29
D W W D D
9 28 6 10 12 31:45 -14 28
L D D D W
10 28 5 8 15 23:45 -22 23
D L D D L
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation