Dundalk vs Shelbourne Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
78.9%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.70 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.20 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.60 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dundalk
33 matches
Shelbourne
39 matches
| Dundalk | Statistic | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 12 |
| 11 | Draws | 15 |
| 11 | Losses | 12 |
| 53 | Goals For | 59 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.51 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.03 | Shots On Goal | 3.62 |
| 15.61 | Total Shots | 12.21 |
| 5.81 | Corners | 4.65 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 47% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Dundalk's more proactive style and Shelbourne's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Shelbourne. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dundalk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shelbourne in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shelbourne having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Placed 4 with 40 points from 29 outings, Dundalk continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 46:45 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Daryl Horgan (8 goals), Tyreke Wilson (4 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), with creative support from Daryl Horgan (4 assists), Eoin Kenny (3 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Shelbourne come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 36 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses, while the 37:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Harry Wood (3 goals), D. Kelly (3 goals), John Martin (2 goals), with creative support from Harry Wood (5 assists), John Martin (1 assists), A. Coote (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk won 2 times, Shelbourne won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Dundalk's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 51:25 | 26 | 56 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46:29 | 17 | 56 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53:36 | 17 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Home
|
31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 47:50 | -3 | 41 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 5 | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 44:42 | 2 | 38 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 41:46 | -5 | 37 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Shelbourne
Away
|
30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 8 | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 42:51 | -9 | 34 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 37:49 | -12 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24:53 | -29 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
L
|