IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION

21.08.2026 18:45

Dundalk

1 - 2

Galway United

Oriel Park

Referee: M. Houlihan

Dundalk

Match Timeline

Galway United

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Dundalk vs Galway United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 67.3%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 64.5%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	67.3%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	75.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	64.5%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Dundalk Win 43.6%

Draw 23.7%

Galway United Win 32.7%

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundalk1.67

Galway United1.35

Recent Form (Last 5)

Dundalk

WWDLW

48 GF / 44 GA

Galway United

WLDWL

36 GF / 49 GA

Key Stats

1.66

Average Goals Scored

1.24

1.52

Average Goals Conceded

1.69

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.41

Shots on Goal

3.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dundalk 29 matches

Galway United 29 matches

Dundalk	Statistic	Galway United
10	Wins	8
10	Draws	9
9	Losses	12
48	Goals For	36
44	Goals Against	49
1.66	Avg Goals Scored	1.24
1.52	Avg Goals Conceded	1.69
22	BTTS Yes	18
26	Over 1.5	22
18	Over 2.5	15
11	Over 3.5	11
5	Clean Sheets	4
2	Failed To Score	9
5.41	Shots On Goal	3.54
15.74	Total Shots	11.92
6.04	Corners	4.54
49.4%	Ball Possession	38.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk won 2 times, Galway United won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:16 from Dundalk's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (76.3%)

Predicted formations: Dundalk 4-2-3-1 / Galway United 3-5-2

H2H summary: Dundalk wins 2, draws 2, Galway United wins 5

Standings

Premier Division

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	St Patrick's Athl.	32	17	8	7	52:25	27	59	W W W L W
2	Shamrock Rovers	31	17	8	6	49:31	18	59	W L D D W
3	Bohemians	31	16	8	7	55:37	18	56	W W W W L
4	Derry City	32	9	14	9	45:42	3	41	W D W D L
5	Dundalk Home	32	10	11	11	49:53	-4	41	L L D W L
6	Shelbourne	31	9	12	10	41:44	-3	39	W L L D D
7	Galway United Away	31	9	10	12	41:47	-6	37	L W L D W
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	44:54	-10	34	L D D W D
9	Drogheda United	32	8	10	14	38:51	-13	34	L W W L L
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	24:54	-30	23	L L L L D

Play-offs

Qualifying

Relegation Play-offs

Relegation