Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
78.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dundalk
25 matches
Drogheda United
26 matches
| Dundalk | Statistic | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 11 |
| 43 | Goals For | 32 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.52 | Shots On Goal | 3.17 |
| 15.52 | Total Shots | 9.57 |
| 5.78 | Corners | 3.91 |
| 48.7% | Ball Possession | 38.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Dundalk's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Drogheda United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Dundalk arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 35 points compared to Drogheda United in 8 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dundalk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Drogheda United in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Drogheda United having the stronger overall control.
Operating from 4 place with 35 points from 22 games, Dundalk bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 9 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a 36:32 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Tyreke Wilson (4 goals), Daryl Horgan (4 goals), Gbemi Arubi (3 goals), with creative support from Eoin Kenny (3 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), Daryl Horgan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Drogheda United are currently 8 in the standings with 22 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 27:38 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mark Doyle (4 goals), Ryan Brennan (2 goals), Warren Davis (2 goals), with creative support from Brandon Kavanagh (3 assists), Thomas Oluwa (1 assists), Jago Godden (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk won 5 times, Drogheda United won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Dundalk's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.
Dundalk
4
3
2
6
3
2
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bray Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 51 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 44 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Home
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 40:38 | 2 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 5 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 30 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 |
Drogheda United
Away
|
26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 27 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
| 9 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
D
|