Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
80.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Dundalk
Derry City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dundalk
20 matches
Derry City
21 matches
| Dundalk | Statistic | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 35 | Goals For | 22 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 6.06 | Shots On Goal | 4.42 |
| 15.94 | Total Shots | 12.84 |
| 6.11 | Corners | 6.11 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 55.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Dundalk's more proactive style and Derry City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Derry City. Dundalk have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dundalk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Derry City in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Derry City having the stronger overall control.
Dundalk approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 25 points from 17 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 28:26, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Horgan (5 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), Declan McDaid (3 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (5 assists), G. Arubi (3 assists), E. Kenny (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 17 matches, Derry City have collected 20 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:21 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Duffy (5 goals), James Clarke (4 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), with creative support from Ben Doherty (2 assists), Brandon Fleming (2 assists), J. McClean (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk won 3 times, Derry City won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Dundalk's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Dundalk
4
4
7
6
3
2
Lineups
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Polessya
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Home
|
24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Away
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|