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24.10.2026 11:00
Gradski stadion
Referee: G. Kabakov
Dunav Ruse
Match Timeline
Spartak Varna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
A. Valino · Assist: R. Apostolov
Dunav Ruse
🟨
33'
Ángel Gomes Arevalo
Spartak Varna
🟨
35'
Sámuel Major
Spartak Varna
🔄
46'
A. Ivanov ↔ B. Ivanov
Spartak Varna
🔄
46'
Jota Lopes ↔ B. Hanne
Spartak Varna
🟨
60'
Alexander Valino Navasal
Dunav Ruse
🔄
70'
J. Saint-Louis ↔ E. Sou
Dunav Ruse
⚽
76'
R. Apostolov
Dunav Ruse
🔄
77'
A. Gomes ↔ T. Chunchukov
Spartak Varna
🔄
77'
R. Sousa ↔ T. Petrov
Spartak Varna
🔄
78'
D. Valverde ↔ D. Lozev
Spartak Varna
🟨
79'
Kristian Boytchev
Dunav Ruse
🔄
80'
M. Dilchovski ↔ S. Predev
Dunav Ruse
🔄
87'
K. Boychev ↔ V. Vidakovic
Dunav Ruse
🔄
87'
A. Valino ↔ I. Keita
Dunav Ruse

Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dunav Ruse Win 20.5%
Draw 8.4%
Spartak Varna Win 71.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dunav Ruse1.23
Spartak Varna1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse
W D L D L
7 GF / 8 GA
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
W L D D D
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
15
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
7
1.45
Shots on Goal
1.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse 21 matches
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 19 matches
Dunav Ruse Statistic Spartak Varna
3 Wins 7
7 Draws 6
11 Losses 6
26 Goals For 25
35 Goals Against 23
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
15 BTTS Yes 8
18 Over 1.5 10
13 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 7
1.45 Shots On Goal 1.64
4.09 Total Shots 4.27
1.36 Corners 1.36
21.5% Ball Possession 19.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Spartak Varna having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Spartak Varna. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Dunav Ruse Analysis

So far, Dunav Ruse have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 8 points from 11 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 13:21 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Spartak Varna Analysis

So far, Spartak Varna have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 13 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 11:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Dunav Ruse won 1 times, Spartak Varna won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from Dunav Ruse's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Dunav Ruse 3-5-2 / Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dunav Ruse wins 1, draws 2, Spartak Varna wins 4

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 25:5 20 32
W D W D W
2 13 9 4 0 29:9 20 31
D W W D W
3 13 9 3 1 26:11 15 30
D W L W W
4 14 9 2 3 33:16 17 29
D W W L W
5 14 7 2 5 23:21 2 23
D W L W W
6 13 6 3 4 18:19 -1 21
W D L D L
7 14 2 8 4 9:9 0 14
D D D L L
8 13 3 4 6 12:23 -11 13
L L W L D
9 14 3 4 7 14:22 -8 13
D W W L D
10 14 3 3 8 16:23 -7 12
D L W W D
11 14 3 3 8 8:18 -10 12
W L D D D
12 14 3 2 9 12:25 -13 11
W L L L L
13 14 2 4 8 11:24 -13 10
L L D L D
14 14 1 6 7 15:26 -11 9
L L D D W
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