BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
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Gradski stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.2%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dunav Ruse Win 9.6%
Draw 8.3%
Slavia Sofia Win 82.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dunav Ruse1.16
Slavia Sofia1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse
WWDLW
19 GF / 26 GA
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
WLDWL
31 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
2.07
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse 15 matches
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 15 matches
Dunav Ruse Statistic Slavia Sofia
2 Wins 6
5 Draws 7
8 Losses 2
19 Goals For 31
26 Goals Against 15
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Slavia Sofia's more proactive style and Dunav Ruse's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Slavia Sofia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 7 points while Dunav Ruse sit 12 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Slavia Sofia. Dunav Ruse have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Dunav Ruse Analysis

Dunav Ruse sit 12 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 5:12 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Slavia Sofia Analysis

Slavia Sofia sit 7 with 7 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 6:4 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Dunav Ruse won 1 times, Slavia Sofia won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:10 from Dunav Ruse's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Dunav Ruse 4-2-3-1 / Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dunav Ruse wins 1, draws 2, Slavia Sofia wins 3