CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Juliska
Referee: J. Benes
Dukla Praha
Match Timeline
Slovácko
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
M. Cernak ↔ B. Unusic
Dukla Praha
🟨
27'
Daniel Tetour
Slovácko
🔄
46'
P. Gaszczyk ↔ D. Gilbert
Dukla Praha
🟨
51'
Vlastimil Daníček
Slovácko
54'
P. Juroska · Assist: A. Ouanda
Slovácko
🔄
62'
↔ D. Kozma
Dukla Praha
🔄
62'
R. Mikus ↔ D. Velasquez
Dukla Praha
🔄
65'
V. Danicek ↔ A. Stojcevski
Slovácko
🟨
68'
Daniel Kozma
Dukla Praha
🔄
74'
D. Tetour ↔ T. Kostadinov
Slovácko
🔄
74'
P. Juroska ↔ A. Marinelli
Slovácko
🔄
74'
G. Ndefe ↔ R. Horak
Slovácko
🔄
77'
Z. Sehovic ↔ D. Kreiker
Dukla Praha
🔄
78'
D. Hasek ↔ C. Emeka
Dukla Praha
🔄
87'
M. Havlik ↔ J. Suchan
Slovácko

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 5.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
68.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
5.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dukla Praha Win 31.5%
Draw 32.6%
Slovácko Win 35.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dukla Praha1
Slovácko1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
WWDLW
21 GF / 44 GA
Slovácko Slovácko
WLDWL
27 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
13
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
14
3.03
Shots on Goal
3.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 31 matches
Slovácko Slovácko 31 matches
Dukla Praha Statistic Slovácko
4 Wins 5
11 Draws 9
16 Losses 17
21 Goals For 27
44 Goals Against 46
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
13 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 23
9 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 7
15 Failed To Score 13
3.03 Shots On Goal 3.55
9.48 Total Shots 11.97
3.52 Corners 4.39
42.9% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dukla Praha expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Slovácko in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Slovácko having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Slovácko.

Dukla Praha Analysis

Dukla Praha approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 23 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 20:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Cermak (4 goals), D. Kreiker (2 goals), M. Kroupa (2 goals), with creative support from M. Cermak (6 assists), J. Kadak (2 assists), Samuel Isife (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Slovácko Analysis

Slovácko sit 15 with 23 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 26:45, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through A. Ouanda (3 goals), Daniel Tetour (3 goals), J. Suchan (3 goals), with creative support from M. Havlik (4 assists), Gigli Ndefe (2 assists), Michal Trávník (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Dukla Praha won 3 times, Slovácko won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Dukla Praha's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (68.5%)
Predicted formations: Dukla Praha 3-4-2-1 / Slovácko 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Dukla Praha wins 3, draws 2, Slovácko wins 5

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2 35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation