SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 85.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
62.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
85.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
DSC Win 31.7%
Draw 18.3%
Stade de Mbour Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
DSC0.77
Stade de Mbour0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
DSC DSC
WWDLW
22 GF / 31 GA
Stade de Mbour Stade de Mbour
WLDWL
16 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
0.62
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
0.65
12
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

DSC DSC 26 matches
Stade de Mbour Stade de Mbour 26 matches
DSC Statistic Stade de Mbour
4 Wins 4
15 Draws 17
7 Losses 5
22 Goals For 16
31 Goals Against 17
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.62
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 0.65
12 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 14
12 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Stade de Mbour. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stade de Mbour having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

DSC Analysis

DSC sit 12 with 27 points after 26 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 15 draws, and 7 losses, while the 22:31 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stade de Mbour Analysis

Stade de Mbour are currently 10 in the standings with 29 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 17 draws, and 5 losses, while the 16:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, DSC won 5 times, Stade de Mbour won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:6 from DSC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.31 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.7%)
H2H summary: DSC wins 5, draws 6, Stade de Mbour wins 2
Last matches: DSC
04.06.26
Lig
DSC
Casa Sport
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
DSC
Teungueth
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
DSC
Jaraaf
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
DSC
Pikine
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lig
DSC
Wally Daan
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
DSC
Sonacos
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
DSC
AJEL
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
DSC
Génération Foot
0
5
L
29.03.26
Lig
DSC
Ouakam
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
DSC
La Linguère
2
2
D
15.03.26
Lig
DSC
HLM
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
DSC
Gorée
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
DSC
AS Camberene
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
DSC
Guédiawaye
0
3
L
15.02.26
Lig
DSC
Casa Sport
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
DSC
Teungueth
0
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
DSC
Jaraaf
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
DSC
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
DSC
Pikine
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
DSC
Wally Daan
1
1
D
Last matches: Stade de Mbour
04.06.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Gorée
0
0
D
22.05.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Guédiawaye
0
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Teungueth
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Wally Daan
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
AJEL
1
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Ouakam
0
0
D
20.04.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
HLM
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
AS Camberene
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Casa Sport
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Jaraaf
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Pikine
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Sonacos
2
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Génération Foot
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
La Linguère
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Gorée
0
1
L
08.02.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Teungueth
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
DSC
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Wally Daan
0
1
L
07.01.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
AJEL
0
2
L
H2H: DSC vs Stade de Mbour
13.05.26
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
0
2
L
25.01.26
H2H
Stade de Mbour
DSC
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
Stade de Mbour
DSC
0
1
W
02.12.23
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
14.05.23
H2H
Stade de Mbour
DSC
0
0
D
07.12.22
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
01.05.21
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
03.01.21
H2H
Stade de Mbour
DSC
0
0
D
15.12.19
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
31.03.19
H2H
Stade de Mbour
DSC
0
1
W
15.12.18
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
02.04.18
H2H
Stade de Mbour
DSC
1
4
W
17.12.17
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
1
2
L
Last matches: DSC
22.05.26
Lig
DSC
Teungueth
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lig
DSC
Wally Daan
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
DSC
AJEL
2
0
W
29.03.26
Lig
DSC
Ouakam
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
DSC
HLM
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
DSC
AS Camberene
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
DSC
Casa Sport
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
DSC
Jaraaf
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
DSC
Pikine
1
1
D
28.12.25
Lig
DSC
Sonacos
5
2
W
13.12.25
Lig
DSC
Génération Foot
1
1
D
29.11.25
Lig
DSC
La Linguère
0
0
D
16.11.25
Lig
DSC
Gorée
0
4
L
02.11.25
Lig
DSC
Guédiawaye
3
1
W
H2H at home: DSC
13.05.26
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
0
2
L
02.12.23
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
07.12.22
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
01.05.21
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
15.12.19
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
15.12.18
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
17.12.17
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
1
2
L
Last matches: Stade de Mbour
04.06.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Gorée
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Teungueth
0
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
AJEL
1
0
W
20.04.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
HLM
1
1
D
29.03.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Casa Sport
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Sonacos
2
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
La Linguère
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Wally Daan
0
1
L
29.12.25
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Ouakam
1
1
D
14.12.25
Lig
Stade de Mbour
AS Camberene
1
2
L
29.11.25
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Jaraaf
0
0
D
23.11.25
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Pikine
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Stade de Mbour
Génération Foot
2
0
W
H2H away: Stade de Mbour
13.05.26
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
0
2
W
02.12.23
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
07.12.22
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
01.05.21
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
15.12.19
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
2
0
L
15.12.18
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
1
0
L
17.12.17
H2H
DSC
Stade de Mbour
1
2
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12
DSC Home
30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation