IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
01.05.2026 18:45
Weavers Park
Drogheda United
Match Timeline
Sligo Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
M. Doyle
Drogheda United
🟨
44'
Ryan Brennan
Drogheda United
🔄
61'
B. Kavanagh ↔ J. Godden
Drogheda United
🔄
71'
M. Doyle ↔ K. Cruise
Drogheda United
🔄
75'
S. Stewart ↔ A. Nolan
Sligo Rovers
🔄
81'
W. Davis ↔ J. Bucknor
Drogheda United
🔄
82'
D. Patton ↔ M. Traore
Sligo Rovers
🟨
85'
Shane Farell
Drogheda United

Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
76.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Drogheda United Win 23.4%
Draw 39.4%
Sligo Rovers Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Drogheda United1.28
Sligo Rovers1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Drogheda United Drogheda United
WWDLW
21 GF / 23 GA
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WLDWL
22 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
11
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
8
3.83
Shots on Goal
2.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Drogheda United Drogheda United 15 matches
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 19 matches
Drogheda United Statistic Sligo Rovers
4 Wins 8
6 Draws 2
5 Losses 9
21 Goals For 22
23 Goals Against 21
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
11 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 8
3.83 Shots On Goal 2.69
10.17 Total Shots 10.31
4 Corners 3.23
40.8% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sligo Rovers. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Drogheda United expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Sligo Rovers in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sligo Rovers having the stronger overall control.

Drogheda United Analysis

So far, Drogheda United have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 13 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 16:20 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Doyle (4 goals), Conor Keeley (3 goals), W. Davis (3 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (2 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), T. Oluwa (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

Sligo Rovers sit 7 with 14 points after 13 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 10:17 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through W. Fitzgerald (4 goals), A. Nolan (1 goals), Archie Meekison (1 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (2 assists), A. Nolan (1 assists), Archie Meekison (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Drogheda United won 6 times, Sligo Rovers won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:17 from Drogheda United's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (76.6%)
Predicted formations: Drogheda United 5-3-2 / Sligo Rovers 4-3-3
H2H summary: Drogheda United wins 6, draws 6, Sligo Rovers wins 3

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
2 31 17 8 6 49:31 18 59
W L D D W
3 31 16 8 7 55:37 18 56
W W W W L
4 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
5 32 10 11 11 49:53 -4 41
L L D W L
6 32 9 13 10 42:45 -3 40
D W L L D
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 32 8 10 14 38:51 -13 34
L W W L L
10 32 5 8 19 24:54 -30 23
L L L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation