IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Weavers Park
Referee: A. Hunter
Drogheda United
Match Timeline
Shelbourne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
H. Wood
Shelbourne
🟨
19'
P. Barrett
Shelbourne
24'
T. Oluwa · Assist: B. Kavanagh
Drogheda United
36'
M. Doyle · Assist: J. Bucknor
Drogheda United
🔄
46'
P. Barrett ↔ J. Norris
Shelbourne
🔄
51'
W. Jarvis ↔ D. Kelly
Shelbourne
🔄
51'
M. Odubeko ↔ S. Boyd
Shelbourne
🔄
54'
S. Farrell ↔ E. O'Brien
Drogheda United
64'
H. Wood · Assist: D. Kelly
Shelbourne
🔄
67'
A. Coote ↔ S. Moore
Shelbourne
🟨
71'
R. Brennan
Drogheda United
🔄
75'
M. Doyle ↔ J. Godden
Drogheda United
🔄
77'
H. Wood ↔ J. Henry-Francis
Shelbourne
🔄
78'
J. Bucknor ↔ D. Kareem
Drogheda United
🟨
83'
K. Doherty
Drogheda United
🟨
85'
D. Kelly
Shelbourne
🟨
87'
J. Henry-Francis
Shelbourne

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.7%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Drogheda United Win 37.1%
Draw 18.3%
Shelbourne Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Drogheda United1.3
Shelbourne1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Drogheda United Drogheda United
WWDLW
30 GF / 37 GA
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WLDWL
40 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
16
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
16
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Drogheda United Drogheda United 23 matches
Shelbourne Shelbourne 24 matches
Drogheda United Statistic Shelbourne
6 Wins 10
8 Draws 9
9 Losses 5
30 Goals For 40
37 Goals Against 31
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
16 BTTS Yes 18
18 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 3
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.25
9.85 Total Shots 13.85
3.95 Corners 5.15
40% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Shelbourne's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Shelbourne. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Drogheda United Analysis

So far, Drogheda United have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 21 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 25:32 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Doyle (8 goals), Conor Keeley (3 goals), W. Davis (3 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (4 assists), K. Cruise (2 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shelbourne Analysis

Shelbourne come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 26 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 27:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Wood (7 goals), J. Martin (6 goals), Daniel Kelly (4 goals), with creative support from H. Wood (3 assists), M. Lundgren (3 assists), J. Martin (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Drogheda United won 3 times, Shelbourne won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:26 from Drogheda United's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.7%)
Predicted formations: Drogheda United 4-2-3-1 / Shelbourne 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Drogheda United wins 3, draws 7, Shelbourne wins 5

Lineups

Drogheda United
Formation
Shelbourne
L. Dennison
L. Dennison
E. Agbaje
E. Agbaje
C. Keeley
C. Keeley
L. Burney
L. Burney
C. Kane
C. Kane
S. Farrell
S. Farrell
R. Brennan
R. Brennan
J. Bucknor
🎯
J. Bucknor
B. Kavanagh
🎯
B. Kavanagh
T. Oluwa
T. Oluwa
M. Doyle
M. Doyle
W. Speel
W. Speel
M. Mbeng
M. Mbeng
S. Bone
S. Bone
P. Barrett
P. Barrett
K. Ledwidge
K. Ledwidge
J. Lunney
J. Lunney
E. Caffrey
E. Caffrey
A. Coote
A. Coote
H. Wood
⚽ 2
H. Wood
W. Jarvis
W. Jarvis
M. Odubeko
M. Odubeko
Drogheda United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Dennison
2
E. Agbaje
22
C. Keeley
5
L. Burney
3
C. Kane
17
S. Farrell
↓ 54'
19
R. Brennan
🟨 71'
7
J. Bucknor
🎯 36' ↓ 78'
10
B. Kavanagh
🎯 24'
11
T. Oluwa
⚽ 24'
14
M. Doyle
⚽ 36' ↓ 75'
Substitutes
44
F. Talley
32
D. Mare
6
J. Godden
↑ 75'
8
E. O'Brien
↑ 54'
18
J. Bolger
28
S. Brady
15
D. Kareem
↑ 78'
29
J. Brennan
30
C. O'Connor
Shelbourne 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
W. Speel
25
M. Mbeng
15
S. Bone
29
P. Barrett
↓ 46' 🟨 19'
4
K. Ledwidge
6
J. Lunney
27
E. Caffrey
14
A. Coote
↓ 67'
7
H. Wood
⚽ 15' ⚽ 64' ↓ 77'
36
W. Jarvis
↓ 51'
11
M. Odubeko
↓ 51'
Substitutes
31
C. Walsh
17
D. Kelly
🎯 64' ↑ 51' 🟨 85'
18
J. Norris
↑ 46'
22
S. Moore
↑ 67'
2
S. Gannon
9
S. Boyd
↑ 51'
5
E. Chapman
21
J. Henry-Francis
↑ 77' 🟨 87'
24
Z. Ibsen Rossi
Last matches: Drogheda United
10.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
2
1
W
03.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
2
L
26.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
4
L
01.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
4
3
W
17.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Galway United
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
07.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
2
L
Last matches: Shelbourne
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
27.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
25.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
H2H: Drogheda United vs Shelbourne
19.06.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
24.04.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
W
27.02.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
2
L
22.09.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
1
W
19.05.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
0
0
D
18.04.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
07.03.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
0
1
W
07.02.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
0
L
25.10.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
1
L
04.07.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
10.05.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
1
1
D
05.04.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
03.11.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
4
L
05.06.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
2
L
01.05.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
Last matches: Drogheda United
03.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
1
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Galway United
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
2
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Drogheda United
UCD
1
1
D
09.01.26
Fri
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
1
D
H2H at home: Drogheda United
19.06.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
27.02.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
2
L
22.09.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
1
W
18.04.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
04.07.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
05.04.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
03.11.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
4
L
01.05.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
Last matches: Shelbourne
27.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
25.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
1
W
06.02.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
1
1
D
30.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Bray Wanderers
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
18.12.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Celje
0
0
D
27.11.25
UEF
Shelbourne
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
L
23.10.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Shkendija
0
1
L
28.08.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Linfield
2
0
W
06.08.25
UEF
Shelbourne
HNK Rijeka
2
1
W
30.07.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Qarabag
0
1
L
16.07.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Linfield
1
1
D
H2H away: Shelbourne
19.06.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
27.02.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
2
W
22.09.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
1
L
18.04.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
04.07.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
05.04.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
03.11.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
4
W
01.05.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 5 5 40:22 18 50
W W D W L
2 25 12 7 6 40:27 13 43
W W W L L
3 24 12 6 6 39:20 19 42
D W L W W
4 24 9 8 7 38:36 2 35
L L L W W
5 24 8 10 6 35:35 0 34
W D L D W
6 25 6 11 8 32:31 1 29
L W D L W
7 23 7 6 10 32:39 -7 27
W L L W L
8 24 6 7 11 29:41 -12 25
W L L D L
9 24 4 9 11 33:47 -14 21
D W W L W
10 24 5 5 14 20:40 -20 20
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1