Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Drogheda United
Derry City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Drogheda United
17 matches
Derry City
17 matches
| Drogheda United | Statistic | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 23 | Goals For | 20 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.64 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 10.29 | Total Shots | 13.47 |
| 4.21 | Corners | 6.07 |
| 39.3% | Ball Possession | 52.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Derry City's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Drogheda United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Derry City in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Derry City having the stronger overall control. Drogheda United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Derry City. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Drogheda United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 16 points from 14 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats with a 18:24 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Doyle (6 goals), Conor Keeley (3 goals), W. Davis (3 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (2 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), J. Godden (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Derry City come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 19 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 19:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Duffy (5 goals), James Clarke (4 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), with creative support from Ben Doherty (2 assists), J. McClean (2 assists), M. Duffy (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Drogheda United
2
4
3
5
1
4
Lineups
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
UCD
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Polessya
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Away
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Drogheda United
Home
|
24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|