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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
09.10.2026 18:00
GN Bouw Stadion
Dordrecht
Match Timeline
Emmen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
Jack Cooper Love · Assist: Sybrand Veldhuis
Emmen
🟨
32'
A. Ouarghi
Dordrecht
⚽
42'
Freddy Quispel · Assist: Jack Cooper Love
Emmen
🟨
43'
nicolas rossi
Dordrecht
🟨
45+1'
Lorenzo Riccio
Dordrecht
🟨
45+1'
Jack Cooper Love
Emmen
🔄
45'
Jurre van Aken ↔ Adil Lechkar
Dordrecht
🔄
45'
nicolas rossi ↔ Lucas Ayrton Román
Dordrecht
🟨
51'
Bryan Van Hove
Emmen
🔄
63'
Freddy Quispel ↔ Mustafa Abdullatif
Emmen
🔄
63'
Martin Vetkal ↔ Siginho Gerardo
Dordrecht
🔄
63'
J. de Bie ↔ Robin van Asten
Dordrecht
🔄
71'
Sybrand Veldhuis ↔ Daan Lambers
Emmen
🔄
71'
Bryan Van Hove ↔ V Carus
Emmen
⚽
82'
Mustafa Abdullatif · Assist: Luca Everink
Emmen
🔄
90+2'
Alessandro Hojabrpour ↔ Joshua Mukeh
Emmen
🔄
90+2'
Michael Breij ↔ Chiel Sunder
Emmen

Dordrecht vs Emmen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.9%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.40 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.50 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Dordrecht Win 33.1%
Draw 21.6%
Emmen Win 45.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dordrecht1.81
Emmen2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dordrecht Dordrecht
WWDLW
27 GF / 37 GA
Emmen Emmen
WLDWL
25 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.92
2.31
Average Goals Conceded
2
9
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
9
4.89
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dordrecht Dordrecht 16 matches
Emmen Emmen 13 matches
Dordrecht Statistic Emmen
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 1
8 Losses 6
27 Goals For 25
37 Goals Against 26
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
2.31 Avg Goals Conceded 2
9 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 11
12 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 3
4.89 Shots On Goal 7
14.22 Total Shots 18.89
4.78 Corners 6.89
52.7% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Emmen's more proactive style and Dordrecht's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Emmen. Emmen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 16 points while Dordrecht sit 18 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Dordrecht have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Dordrecht Analysis

Dordrecht approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 8 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 13:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Ouarghi (3 goals), M. Vetkal (3 goals), N. Rossi (2 goals), with creative support from A. Ouarghi (3 assists), N. Rossi (2 assists), D. Šits (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Emmen Analysis

Placed 4 with 16 points from 9 outings, Emmen continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 19:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Quispel (6 goals), J. Cooper (5 goals), M. Breij (2 goals), with creative support from B. Van Hove (3 assists), L. Everink (3 assists), J. Cooper (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dordrecht won 6 times, Emmen won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:25 from Dordrecht's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.4%)
Predicted formations: Dordrecht 4-2-3-1 / Emmen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dordrecht wins 6, draws 2, Emmen wins 7

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 31:12 19 25
W D W L W
2 10 7 1 2 22:7 15 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 26:14 12 21
W W L W W
4
Emmen Away
10 6 1 3 22:18 4 19
W D W L L
5 10 5 2 3 20:19 1 17
W D W W L
6 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
D L W D W
7 10 5 1 4 13:20 -7 16
L L W L L
8 10 5 0 5 22:17 5 15
W L W L W
9 10 3 5 2 19:15 4 14
L D L W W
10 10 4 2 4 15:15 0 14
L D L W L
11 10 4 1 5 22:18 4 13
L W D L W
12 10 3 4 3 15:17 -2 13
D L D L W
13 10 4 0 6 15:15 0 12
W W L W L
14 10 3 2 5 14:18 -4 11
W D L W L
15 10 3 2 5 15:22 -7 11
L D L W W
16 10 3 2 5 13:23 -10 11
W D W L W
17 10 2 3 5 16:19 -3 9
L D L L W
18 10 2 2 6 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
19 10 2 2 6 13:27 -14 8
L D W L L
20 10 2 1 7 16:23 -7 7
L L W W D
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)