ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
25.04.2026 11:30
Eco-Power Stadium
Referee: M. Coy
Doncaster
Match Timeline
Stevenage
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
M. Phillips
Stevenage
🟨
45+3'
Jay McGrath
Doncaster
🔄
46'
E. Lee ↔ B. Sharp
Doncaster
🔄
46'
S. Grehan ↔ H. Adelakun
Doncaster
🔄
46'
T. Nixon ↔ J. Sterry
Doncaster
🟨
60'
Saxon Earley
Stevenage
🔄
67'
S. Earley ↔ D. Butler
Stevenage
69'
B. Sharp · Assist: H. Adelakun
Doncaster
🟨
72'
Jack Senior
Doncaster
🔄
76'
L. Thompson ↔ J. Houghton
Stevenage
🔄
76'
M. Phillips ↔ B. Lubala
Stevenage
🔄
77'
D. Robinson ↔ B. McCann
Doncaster

Doncaster vs Stevenage Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
50.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Doncaster Win 30.1%
Draw 17.2%
Stevenage Win 52.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Doncaster1.07
Stevenage1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Doncaster Doncaster
WWDLW
52 GF / 72 GA
Stevenage Stevenage
WLDWL
47 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.02
24
BTTS Yes
20
25
Over 2.5
17
3.72
Shots on Goal
3.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Doncaster Doncaster 47 matches
Stevenage Stevenage 45 matches
Doncaster Statistic Stevenage
18 Wins 20
8 Draws 11
21 Losses 14
52 Goals For 47
72 Goals Against 46
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.02
24 BTTS Yes 20
34 Over 1.5 23
25 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 9
11 Clean Sheets 18
14 Failed To Score 12
3.72 Shots On Goal 3.52
12.37 Total Shots 9.89
4.33 Corners 4.45
50% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Stevenage's more proactive style and Doncaster's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Stevenage. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stevenage having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Stevenage carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 71 points while Doncaster sit 15 on 56, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Doncaster have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Doncaster Analysis

Doncaster sit 15 with 56 points after 44 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 16 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 43:64 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on O. Bailey (13 goals), L. Molyneux (8 goals), B. Hanlan (5 goals), with creative support from L. Molyneux (7 assists), O. Bailey (4 assists), J. Gibson (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stevenage Analysis

Stevenage are currently 6 in the standings with 71 points from 44 matches. Their overall return of 20 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 43:38 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Reid (14 goals), Daniel Kemp (7 goals), C. Campbell (4 goals), with creative support from H. White (7 assists), Daniel Kemp (4 assists), J. Reid (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Doncaster won 3 times, Stevenage won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from Doncaster's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.8%)
Predicted formations: Doncaster 4-1-4-1 / Stevenage -
H2H summary: Doncaster wins 3, draws 3, Stevenage wins 3

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two