CROATIA HNL
19.09.2026 15:00
Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Zagreb Win 81.1%
Draw 4.5%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win 14.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Zagreb2.12
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
WWDLW
45 GF / 20 GA
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
WLDWL
32 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.65
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
10
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
12
5.83
Shots on Goal
2.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 17 matches
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 18 matches
Dinamo Zagreb Statistic NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
10 Wins 9
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 5
45 Goals For 32
20 Goals Against 24
2.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
10 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
5.83 Shots On Goal 2.57
18 Total Shots 9.43
6.83 Corners 4.29
56.4% Ball Possession 41.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Dinamo Zagreb's more proactive style and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Dinamo Zagreb arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 13 points compared to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in 7 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Dinamo Zagreb come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dinamo Zagreb expected to line up in 4-3-3 and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NK Lokomotiva Zagreb having the stronger overall control.

Dinamo Zagreb Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 13 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 12:3 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on D. Beljo (5 goals), A. Hoxha (1 goals), L. Kačavenda (1 goals), with creative support from S. Radeljić (1 assists), Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf (1 assists), L. Stojković (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Analysis

With 6 points from 6 games and a place of 7, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 8:12 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Vuković (2 goals), M. Marić (1 goals), T. Triantafyllou (1 goals), with creative support from Marko Pajač (2 assists), D. Vuković (1 assists), M. Marić (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Zagreb won 9 times, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:16 from Dinamo Zagreb's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3 / NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dinamo Zagreb wins 9, draws 3, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 3

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 16:5 11 16
W W W W W
2 7 5 0 2 17:11 6 15
W L W L W
3 7 4 2 1 13:7 6 14
D D W L W
4 6 4 1 1 14:7 7 13
L W D W W
5 6 3 2 1 10:7 3 11
D W D W L
6 7 2 3 2 14:12 2 9
W D D L W
7 7 2 1 4 9:13 -4 7
D L L L L
8 7 2 0 5 5:14 -9 6
L W L W L
9 7 1 0 6 8:22 -14 3
L L L W L
10 7 0 2 5 4:12 -8 2
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL