ALBANIA › SUPERLIGA
02.05.2026 14:00
Elbasan Arena
Dinamo Tirana
Match Timeline
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
M. Ayodeji
Dinamo Tirana
⚽
20'
M. Ayodeji
Dinamo Tirana
🟨
24'
L. Beqja
Dinamo Tirana
🟨
36'
A. Albanese
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
🔄
46'
S. Bakayoko ↔ N. Buric
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
🔄
46'
F. Ruci ↔ D. Adjessa
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
🔄
46'
A. Kryeziu ↔ K. Selmani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
🔄
58'
D. Bregu ↔ E. Qardaku
Dinamo Tirana
🔄
58'
S. Guindo ↔ M. Koma
Dinamo Tirana
🔄
58'
M. Ayodeji ↔ B. Berisha
Dinamo Tirana
🟨
65'
K. Selmani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
🔄
71'
K. Qefalija ↔ B. Aniekan James
Dinamo Tirana
🔄
72'
Z. Aliyev ↔ G. Jaime
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
🔄
72'
A. Albanese ↔ A. Rodrigues
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
🔄
80'
T. Nani ↔ J. Meksi
Dinamo Tirana
🟨
84'
G. Jaime
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
🟥
86'
A. Aleksi
Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Tirana Win 40.1%
Draw 19.4%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Tirana1.1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Tirana Dinamo Tirana
WWDLW
46 GF / 38 GA
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia Rrogozhinë
WLDWL
44 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
19
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Tirana Dinamo Tirana 39 matches
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia Rrogozhinë 39 matches
Dinamo Tirana Statistic Egnatia Rrogozhinë
13 Wins 18
14 Draws 10
12 Losses 11
46 Goals For 44
38 Goals Against 38
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
19 BTTS Yes 12
27 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 18
16 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Egnatia Rrogozhinë having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Egnatia Rrogozhinë arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Dinamo Tirana Analysis

Placed 4 with 45 points from 33 outings, Dinamo Tirana continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 11 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 38:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Bregu (9 goals), L. Vila (5 goals), S. Guindo (4 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Analysis

With 54 points from 33 games and a place of 3, Egnatia Rrogozhinë still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 38:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Albanese (7 goals), S. Bakayoko (6 goals), D. Adjessa (5 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Tirana won 4 times, Egnatia Rrogozhinë won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:20 from Dinamo Tirana's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.6%)
H2H summary: Dinamo Tirana wins 4, draws 4, Egnatia Rrogozhinë wins 7

Standings

Kategoria Superiore
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 18 9 9 42:27 15 63
L L L W L
2 36 17 11 8 48:37 11 62
W W L L L
3 36 16 9 11 42:34 8 57
W W W L W
4 36 12 13 11 43:33 10 49
L L W L D
5 36 13 9 14 38:48 -10 48
W L L L D
6 36 11 11 14 36:46 -10 44
W W W W D
7 36 10 12 14 39:40 -1 42
W D W W D
8 36 9 15 12 32:37 -5 42
W W D L L
9 36 10 11 15 38:50 -12 41
L W W W D
10 36 8 12 16 39:45 -6 36
L D W W W
Championship round
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation