GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Referee: K. Revazashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
Match Timeline
Gagra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
I. Skrypnyk
Gagra
🟨
41'
N. K. Donkor
Dinamo Tbilisi
52'
L. Kekelidze · Assist: A. Andreychuk
Gagra
🔄
56'
I. Siradze ↔ K. Doltmurziev
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
56'
N. K. Donkor ↔ G. Zaria
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
66'
A. Yoro ↔ Leo Santos
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
66'
R. Ramos ↔ R. Aleksidze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
66'
R. Monteiro ↔ G. Kharebashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
73'
D. Mujiri ↔ G. Darsania
Gagra
🔄
73'
A. Andreychuk ↔ A. Peikrishvili
Gagra
🔄
73'
G. Sadghobelashvili ↔ Claudinei
Gagra
🟨
76'
N. Ugrekhelidze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
79'
S. Kharebashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
81'
L. Kekelidze ↔ S. Zoidze
Gagra
🟨
90+4'
A. Peikrishvili
Gagra
🔄
90+1'
I. Skrypnyk ↔ G. Pipia
Gagra

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 31.3%
Draw 7.1%
Gagra Win 61.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Tbilisi1.23
Gagra1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WWDLW
13 GF / 20 GA
Gagra Gagra
WLDWL
14 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
8
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 14 matches
Gagra Gagra 12 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Statistic Gagra
2 Wins 2
7 Draws 5
5 Losses 5
13 Goals For 14
20 Goals Against 20
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
8 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gagra having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gagra. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Dinamo Tbilisi have collected 8 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 5:5 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Monteiro (2 goals), G. Gvasalia (1 goals), K. Doltmurziev (1 goals), with creative support from N. Ninua (2 assists), G. Gvasalia (1 assists), B. Osei (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gagra Analysis

Gagra sit 10 with 6 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 5:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Andreychuk (2 goals), D. Mujiri (2 goals), I. Skrypnyk (1 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (3 assists), A. Andreychuk (1 assists), S. Zoidze (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi won 6 times, Gagra won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from Dinamo Tbilisi's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Tbilisi 4-2-3-1 / Gagra -
H2H summary: Dinamo Tbilisi wins 6, draws 3, Gagra wins 6

Lineups

Dinamo Tbilisi
Formation
Gagra
M. Makatsaria
M. Makatsaria
G. Gvasalia
G. Gvasalia
A. Kalandadze
A. Kalandadze
N. Ugrekhelidze
N. Ugrekhelidze
S. Kharebashvili
S. Kharebashvili
A. Yoro
A. Yoro
N. Ninua
N. Ninua
R. Monteiro
R. Monteiro
R. Ramos
R. Ramos
N. K. Donkor
N. K. Donkor
I. Siradze
I. Siradze
O. Vorobey
O. Vorobey
G. Sadghobelashvili
G. Sadghobelashvili
Z. Tchavtchanidze
Z. Tchavtchanidze
Augusto
Augusto
V. Arsic
V. Arsic
M. Tsintsadze
M. Tsintsadze
I. Skrypnyk
I. Skrypnyk
L. Kekelidze
L. Kekelidze
Wanderson
Wanderson
D. Mujiri
D. Mujiri
A. Andreychuk
🎯
A. Andreychuk
Dinamo Tbilisi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
37
M. Makatsaria
2
G. Gvasalia
3
A. Kalandadze
4
N. Ugrekhelidze
🟨 76'
5
S. Kharebashvili
🟨 79'
26
A. Yoro
↓ 66'
22
N. Ninua
20
R. Monteiro
↓ 66'
13
R. Ramos
↓ 66'
17
N. K. Donkor
↓ 56' 🟨 41'
19
I. Siradze
↓ 56'
Substitutes
38
D. Chochoshvili
6
Leo Santos
↑ 66'
7
K. Doltmurziev
↑ 56'
9
G. Zaria
↑ 56'
15
A. Gomez
21
D. Kvartskhava
28
R. Aleksidze
↑ 66'
30
G. Lomidze
33
G. Kharebashvili
↑ 66'
Gagra 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
O. Vorobey
22
G. Sadghobelashvili
↓ 73'
14
Z. Tchavtchanidze
2
Augusto
4
V. Arsic
6
M. Tsintsadze
8
I. Skrypnyk
↓ 90+1' 🟨 34'
10
L. Kekelidze
⚽ 52' ↓ 81'
25
Wanderson
9
D. Mujiri
↓ 73'
23
A. Andreychuk
🎯 52' ↓ 73'
Substitutes
35
A. Dmitrievich
3
O. Chochia
11
S. Zoidze
↑ 81'
13
L. Gobejishvili
17
G. Pipia
↑ 90+1'
19
I. Katsiashvili
20
G. Darsania
↑ 73'
21
A. Peikrishvili
↑ 73' 🟨 90+4'
40
Claudinei
↑ 73'
Last matches: Dinamo Tbilisi
23.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
1
1
D
09.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
2
1
W
23.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
3
W
14.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
6
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
20.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
3
2
W
07.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
1
W
17.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
0
0
D
11.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0
0
D
Last matches: Gagra
15.07.26
Fri
Gagra
BKMA
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Gagra
FC Urartu
2
2
D
24.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
2
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
27.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
17.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
02.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
1
L
H2H: Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra
14.06.26
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
L
21.04.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
21.11.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
4
L
13.09.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
16.05.25
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
4
W
08.12.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
01.10.24
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
01.06.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
0
W
16.04.24
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
W
21.10.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
13.08.23
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
6
W
06.05.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
0
D
08.03.23
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
W
03.12.22
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
1
W
Last matches: Dinamo Tbilisi
23.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
1
1
D
23.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
3
W
24.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
2
0
W
07.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
17.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
03.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
1
2
L
11.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0
0
D
16.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Navbahor
1
1
D
02.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1
1
D
26.01.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Shturmi
2
0
W
H2H at home: Dinamo Tbilisi
21.04.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
21.11.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
4
L
13.09.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
08.12.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
01.06.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
0
D
03.12.22
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
1
W
Last matches: Gagra
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Bunyodkor
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Muras United
4
4
D
09.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Gagra
Shturmi
1
2
L
H2H away: Gagra
21.04.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
W
21.11.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
4
W
13.09.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
W
08.12.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
W
01.06.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
0
D
03.12.22
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
1
L

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9
Gagra Away
19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2