RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
06.09.2026 13:15
Anzhi-Arena
Referee: Yan Bobrovskiy, Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala
Match Timeline
Rodina Moskva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
7'
German Onugkha
Rodina Moskva
🟥
8'
German Onugkha
Rodina Moskva
🟨
15'
Iker Pozo
Rodina Moskva
🟨
22'
Artem Meshchaninov
Rodina Moskva
🔄
38'
A. Sandrachuk ↔ M. Makhamadzhonov
Dinamo Makhachkala
🔄
38'
E. Smelov ↔ G. Agalarov
Dinamo Makhachkala
51'
G. Agalarov · Assist: M. Apshatsev
Dinamo Makhachkala
🔄
57'
S. Bakaev ↔ A. Sokol
Rodina Moskva
🔄
57'
I. Pozo ↔ L. Musaev
Rodina Moskva
🔄
57'
Y. Reyna ↔ A. Egorychev
Rodina Moskva
64'
H. Mrezigue · Assist: D. Lesovoy
Dinamo Makhachkala
🔄
75'
M. Nade ↔ M. Krizan
Rodina Moskva
🔄
80'
A. Maksimenko ↔ B. Mansilla
Rodina Moskva
🔄
86'
Miro ↔ M. Hosseinnejad
Dinamo Makhachkala
🔄
89'
M. Apshatsev ↔ D. Aleksandrov
Dinamo Makhachkala
🔄
89'
D. Lesovoy ↔ V. Khubulov
Dinamo Makhachkala

Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.4%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 2.01
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.4%
1.83
BTTS Yes
86%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
2.01
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.5%
1.23
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.67
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.10
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Makhachkala Win 72.4%
Draw 5.7%
Rodina Moskva Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Makhachkala1.93
Rodina Moskva0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala
WWDLW
36 GF / 19 GA
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
WLDWL
16 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
0.94
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
2.12
9
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
11
4
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 20 matches
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 17 matches
Dinamo Makhachkala Statistic Rodina Moskva
12 Wins 2
2 Draws 5
6 Losses 10
36 Goals For 16
19 Goals Against 36
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 2.12
9 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 7
4 Shots On Goal 2.67
11.33 Total Shots 7.33
3.67 Corners 2.33
40% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Dinamo Makhachkala's more proactive style and Rodina Moskva's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rodina Moskva. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dinamo Makhachkala expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Rodina Moskva in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rodina Moskva having the stronger overall control. Dinamo Makhachkala arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 9 points compared to Rodina Moskva in 13 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Rodina Moskva arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Dinamo Makhachkala Analysis

Dinamo Makhachkala sit 6 with 9 points after 5 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:7 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nikita Glushkov (2 goals), Daniil Lesovoy (1 goals), Andrés Alarcón (1 goals), with creative support from Nikita Glushkov (2 assists), Daniil Lesovoy (1 assists), Houssem Eddine Mrezigue (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Rodina Moskva Analysis

With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 13, Rodina Moskva still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 8:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Artem Maksimenko (3 goals), Iker Pozo (2 goals), Artur Gharibyan (2 goals), with creative support from Artem Maksimenko (1 assists), Iker Pozo (1 assists), Artur Gharibyan (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Makhachkala won 1 times, Rodina Moskva won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Dinamo Makhachkala's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Makhachkala 4-2-3-1 / Rodina Moskva 4-4-2
Missing players: Dinamo Makhachkala 2, Rodina Moskva 0
H2H summary: Dinamo Makhachkala wins 1, draws 2, Rodina Moskva wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 14:7 7 21
D D D W W
2 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
3 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
4 9 6 1 2 16:7 9 19
W W L D W
5 9 6 0 3 19:9 10 18
W W L W L
6 9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
7 9 4 0 5 15:16 -1 12
L L W L L
8 9 3 2 4 14:12 2 11
L D L W D
9 9 2 5 2 13:14 -1 11
D W D D W
10 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
L W D D W
11 9 1 6 2 7:10 -3 9
D L D D D
12 9 2 2 5 10:17 -7 8
L L W L L
13 9 1 5 3 11:18 -7 8
W D D D L
14 9 1 4 4 8:11 -3 7
D L W L L
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16 9 0 3 6 6:13 -7 3
L D L L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL