GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Adjarabet Arena
Referee: A. Parjikia
Dinamo Batumi
Match Timeline
Gagra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
D. Mandricenco · Assist: T. Kirkitadze
Dinamo Batumi
🟨
17'
V. Bliznichenko
Gagra
29'
L. Tsulukidze
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
46'
I. Turitsov ↔ R. Chiteishvili
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
46'
S. Zoidze ↔ L. Gurchiani
Gagra
🔄
56'
I. Skrypnyk ↔ L. Kekelidze
Gagra
🔄
56'
G. Goshteliani ↔ G. Khachidze
Gagra
🔄
59'
L. Lakvekheliani ↔ L. Kapianidze
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
59'
D. Mandricenco ↔ Maurides
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
59'
A. Eshetiye ↔ I. Oulad Omar
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
64'
S. Altunashvili ↔ G. Japaridze
Dinamo Batumi
68'
Z. Tchavtchanidze · Assist: Wanderson
Gagra
🔄
71'
A. Andreychuk ↔ D. Mujiri
Gagra
🔄
78'
Claudinei ↔ R. Adeyeye
Gagra
85'
Wanderson · Assist: V. Bliznichenko
Gagra

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Batumi Win 76.2%
Draw 4.9%
Gagra Win 18.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Batumi1.27
Gagra1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi
WWDLW
30 GF / 44 GA
Gagra Gagra
WLDWL
30 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
14
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
1.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 25 matches
Gagra Gagra 26 matches
Dinamo Batumi Statistic Gagra
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 10
12 Losses 9
30 Goals For 30
44 Goals Against 36
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
14 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 1.33
0 Total Shots 1.33
0 Corners 0.33
0% Ball Possession 15.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gagra having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gagra.

Dinamo Batumi Analysis

Dinamo Batumi approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 27 points after 19 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 28:30 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gagra Analysis

Gagra sit 9 with 22 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 18:24 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Batumi won 8 times, Gagra won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:19 from Dinamo Batumi's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Dinamo Batumi wins 8, draws 4, Gagra wins 3

Lineups

Dinamo Batumi
Formation
Gagra
N. Kalichava
N. Kalichava
I. Turitsov
I. Turitsov
M. Kobakhidze
M. Kobakhidze
D. Carlson
D. Carlson
L. Lakvekheliani
L. Lakvekheliani
S. Altunashvili
S. Altunashvili
A. Eshetiye
A. Eshetiye
T. Kirkitadze
🎯
T. Kirkitadze
U. Mara
U. Mara
L. Tsulukidze
L. Tsulukidze
D. Mandricenco
D. Mandricenco
O. Vorobey
O. Vorobey
Claudinei
Claudinei
Z. Tchavtchanidze
Z. Tchavtchanidze
V. Arsic
V. Arsic
Wanderson
🎯
Wanderson
M. Tsintsadze
M. Tsintsadze
V. Bliznichenko
🎯
V. Bliznichenko
I. Skrypnyk
I. Skrypnyk
G. Goshteliani
G. Goshteliani
S. Zoidze
S. Zoidze
A. Andreychuk
A. Andreychuk
Dinamo Batumi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
N. Kalichava
29
I. Turitsov
↓ 46'
23
M. Kobakhidze
24
D. Carlson
12
L. Lakvekheliani
↓ 59'
8
S. Altunashvili
↓ 64'
16
A. Eshetiye
↓ 59'
22
T. Kirkitadze
🎯 12'
10
U. Mara
20
L. Tsulukidze
⚽ 29'
7
D. Mandricenco
⚽ 12' ↓ 59'
Substitutes
30
M. Turmanidze
3
A. Getiashvili
4
L. Kapianidze
↑ 59'
9
Maurides
↑ 59'
14
G. Kokhreidze
18
I. Oulad Omar
↑ 59'
32
B. Baramidze
35
R. Chiteishvili
↑ 46'
39
G. Japaridze
↑ 64'
Gagra 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
O. Vorobey
40
Claudinei
↓ 78'
14
Z. Tchavtchanidze
⚽ 68'
4
V. Arsic
25
Wanderson
⚽ 85' 🎯 68'
6
M. Tsintsadze
18
V. Bliznichenko
🎯 85' 🟨 17'
8
I. Skrypnyk
↓ 56'
30
G. Goshteliani
↓ 56'
11
S. Zoidze
↓ 46'
23
A. Andreychuk
↓ 71'
Substitutes
35
A. Dmitrievich
3
O. Chochia
5
Y. Nazarov
9
D. Mujiri
↑ 71'
10
L. Kekelidze
↑ 56'
19
G. Khachidze
↑ 56'
22
G. Sadghobelashvili
29
R. Adeyeye
↑ 78'
33
L. Gurchiani
↑ 46'
Last matches: Dinamo Batumi
21.08.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
16.08.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
4
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
Dinamo Batumi
Amed
0
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Dinamo Batumi
Rizespor
0
3
L
23.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
17.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Torpedo Kutaisi
3
2
W
12.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dila
3
2
W
29.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
FC Iberia 1999
0
1
L
25.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Rustavi
1
0
W
21.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Spaeri
3
3
D
16.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Meshakhte
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
3
1
W
06.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
2
D
27.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
3
L
22.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dila
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
FC Iberia 1999
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Rustavi
0
3
L
03.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Spaeri
4
1
W
Last matches: Gagra
22.08.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
0
3
L
17.08.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Gagra
BKMA
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Gagra
FC Urartu
2
2
D
24.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
2
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
FC Iberia 1999
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
27.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ero
Gagra
FC Iberia 1999
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
H2H: Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
08.08.26
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
2
2
D
06.05.26
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
W
07.03.26
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
4
1
L
17.08.25
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
1
2
L
03.05.25
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
10.03.25
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
2
1
W
18.10.24
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
3
2
W
10.08.24
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
27.04.24
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
0
1
L
07.03.24
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
W
03.11.23
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
3
0
W
27.08.23
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
0
2
W
14.05.23
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
3
1
W
18.03.23
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
4
W
Last matches: Dinamo Batumi
12.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dila
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Rustavi
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Meshakhte
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
2
D
27.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
FC Iberia 1999
0
3
L
03.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Spaeri
4
1
W
07.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
1
1
D
H2H at home: Dinamo Batumi
08.08.26
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
2
2
D
07.03.26
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
1
1
D
17.08.25
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
1
2
L
10.03.25
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
2
1
W
18.10.24
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
3
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
0
1
L
03.11.23
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
3
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
3
1
W
Last matches: Gagra
22.08.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
0
3
L
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
FC Iberia 1999
0
1
L
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Bunyodkor
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Muras United
4
4
D
09.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Gagra
Shturmi
1
2
L
H2H away: Gagra
08.08.26
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
2
2
D
07.03.26
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
1
1
D
17.08.25
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
1
2
W
10.03.25
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
2
1
L
18.10.24
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
3
2
L
27.04.24
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
0
1
W
03.11.23
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
3
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
Dinamo Batumi
Gagra
3
1
L

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 5 5 29:18 11 41
W W W L W
2 21 9 7 5 33:25 8 34
L W W W L
3 20 10 4 6 30:22 8 34
L W L D W
4 22 9 7 6 35:32 3 34
W W D L W
5 22 8 7 7 36:25 11 31
D W L D L
6 22 9 4 9 31:40 -9 31
W L W D L
7 21 9 3 9 26:22 4 30
D W W W L
8
Gagra Away
22 5 9 8 21:30 -9 24
L D D D D
9 22 5 8 9 30:32 -2 23
L D L D L
10 22 1 8 13 15:40 -25 11
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2