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FRANCE › LIGUE 2
24.10.2026 12:00

Dijon vs Rodez Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dijon Win 71.1%
Draw 6.1%
Rodez Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dijon2.14
Rodez1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dijon Dijon
WWDLW
35 GF / 25 GA
Rodez Rodez
WLDWL
30 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.19
Average Goals Scored
2
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
2.07
14
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
10
5.44
Shots on Goal
5.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dijon Dijon 16 matches
Rodez Rodez 15 matches
Dijon Statistic Rodez
7 Wins 6
6 Draws 2
3 Losses 7
35 Goals For 30
25 Goals Against 31
2.19 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 2.07
14 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 4
5.44 Shots On Goal 5.22
13.22 Total Shots 14.67
3.56 Corners 6.78
53.2% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Dijon arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 12 points compared to Rodez in 17 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dijon expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Rodez in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rodez having the stronger overall control. Rodez arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Rodez. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Dijon Analysis

Dijon are currently 8 in the standings with 12 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 16:16 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Júlio Tavares (4 goals), Samy Olivier Chouchane (3 goals), A. Lembezat (2 goals), with creative support from P. Bellon (3 assists), Júlio Tavares (1 assists), A. Lembezat (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rodez Analysis

Rodez sit 17 with 7 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 14:18 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ibrahima Baldé (5 goals), C. Roubiou (2 goals), R. Lipinski (1 goals), with creative support from R. Lipinski (3 assists), R. Ponti (1 assists), J. Mendes (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Dijon won 2 times, Rodez won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Dijon's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Dijon 4-1-3-2 / Rodez 5-3-2
H2H summary: Dijon wins 2, draws 1, Rodez wins 1

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 22:8 14 22
W W D L W
2 9 4 5 0 19:11 8 17
W D D W D
3 9 5 2 2 12:10 2 17
L W W W W
4 9 5 1 3 11:8 3 16
W W W L L
5 8 4 3 1 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
6 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W W W L D
7 9 3 4 2 15:13 2 13
W L D L W
8 9 4 1 4 11:11 0 13
L W L L W
9
Dijon Home
9 3 3 3 16:16 0 12
L W W W D
10 9 3 2 4 13:15 -2 11
W L L W D
11 9 2 5 2 7:9 -2 11
L D D W D
12 9 1 6 2 6:6 0 9
W D L D D
13 9 2 2 5 11:15 -4 8
L L L W D
14 9 2 2 5 11:16 -5 8
L D W L W
15 9 2 2 5 8:15 -7 8
L L D W L
16 9 0 7 2 9:12 -3 7
D L D D D
17
Rodez Away
8 2 1 5 14:18 -4 7
L L L L D
18 9 1 3 5 13:20 -7 6
D L D L L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3