FRANCE LIGUE 3
15.05.2026 17:30
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Dijon
Match Timeline
Orleans
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
M. Lemaitre
Orleans
37'
J. Tavares · Assist: M. Barreto
Dijon
🔄
46'
Y. Aouladzian ↔ A. Ribeiro
Orleans
🔄
46'
M. Sylla ↔ F. El Khoumisti
Orleans
🔄
56'
J. Tavares ↔ Y. Barka
Dijon
🔄
57'
A. Ntamack ↔ J. Domingues
Dijon
🔄
62'
C. Bozkurt ↔ P. I. Ba
Orleans
63'
M. Diako · Assist: P. I. Ba
Orleans
🔄
70'
M. Barreto ↔ H. Vargas-Rios
Dijon
🔄
71'
J. Marie ↔ S. Chouchane
Dijon
🔄
77'
B. Diallo ↔ B. Hamada
Dijon
78'
J. Domingues
Dijon
🟨
79'
G. Khous
Orleans
🟨
82'
B. Ndezi
Dijon
86'
A. Ribeiro · Assist: G. Khous
Orleans
89'
J. Domingues
Dijon

Dijon vs Orleans Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dijon Win 47.6%
Draw 11.5%
Orleans Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dijon1.44
Orleans1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dijon Dijon
WWDLW
49 GF / 23 GA
Orleans Orleans
WLDWL
49 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
16
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dijon Dijon 31 matches
Orleans Orleans 35 matches
Dijon Statistic Orleans
17 Wins 17
11 Draws 9
3 Losses 9
49 Goals For 49
23 Goals Against 43
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
16 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 28
14 Over 2.5 20
7 Over 3.5 7
14 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 6
0 Total Shots 19.5
0 Corners 7
0% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orleans. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Orleans having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Dijon Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 62 points from 31 games, Dijon bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 17 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses, with a 49:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Domingues (12 goals), Y. Barka (10 goals), B. Hamada (4 goals), with creative support from M. Barreto (4 assists), J. Marie (4 assists), A. Ntamack (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Orleans Analysis

Orleans are currently 6 in the standings with 51 points from 31 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 40:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. El Khoumisti (18 goals), C. Rodrigues (8 goals), A. Lallias (5 goals), with creative support from F. Sanchez Da Silva (8 assists), J. Morel (4 assists), S. Luyambula (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Dijon won 6 times, Orleans won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:8 from Dijon's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Dijon 4-1-3-2 / Orleans -
H2H summary: Dijon wins 6, draws 2, Orleans wins 0

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Dijon Home
32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3 32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation