FRANCE LIGUE 3
30.04.2026 17:30
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Dijon
Match Timeline
Chateauroux
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
J. Domingues · Assist: L. Lacroix
Dijon
🟥
24'
Q. Bernard
Dijon
26'
L. Piquionne
Chateauroux
38'
Y. Chahid
Chateauroux
🟨
42'
L. Lacroix
Dijon
🔄
46'
J. Domingues ↔ C. Obongo
Dijon
🟨
54'
P. Wade
Chateauroux
🔄
62'
G. Tjomb ↔ Y. Verdier
Chateauroux
🟨
69'
I. Bouaoune
Chateauroux
🔄
69'
B. Ndezi ↔ H. Vargas-Rios
Dijon
🔄
69'
J. Tavares ↔ Y. Barka
Dijon
🔄
69'
S. Chouchane ↔ A. Ntamack
Dijon
🟨
73'
D. Diarra
Chateauroux
🔄
74'
M. Beneddine ↔ A. Djaha
Chateauroux
🔄
81'
M. Barreto ↔ A. Lembezat
Dijon
🟨
82'
A. Lembezat
Dijon
🔄
88'
J. Koembo ↔ L. Diakhaby
Chateauroux

Dijon vs Chateauroux Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dijon Win 81.5%
Draw 9.6%
Chateauroux Win 9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dijon1.59
Chateauroux0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dijon Dijon
WWDLW
46 GF / 20 GA
Chateauroux Chateauroux
WLDWL
32 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
14
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dijon Dijon 29 matches
Chateauroux Chateauroux 31 matches
Dijon Statistic Chateauroux
16 Wins 5
11 Draws 12
2 Losses 14
46 Goals For 32
20 Goals Against 49
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
14 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 23
12 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Dijon's more proactive style and Chateauroux's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Chateauroux. Dijon arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 59 points compared to Chateauroux in 16 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chateauroux having the stronger overall control. Chateauroux arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Dijon Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 59 points from 29 games, Dijon bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 16 wins, 11 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 46:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Domingues (11 goals), Y. Barka (10 goals), B. Hamada (4 goals), with creative support from J. Marie (4 assists), A. Ntamack (3 assists), M. Barreto (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Chateauroux Analysis

Chateauroux approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 24 points from 29 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 12 draws, and 13 defeats with a 29:45 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Piquionne (4 goals), D. Diarra (3 goals), I. Bouaoune (3 goals), with creative support from S. Dembele (5 assists), R. Freitas (3 assists), L. Piquionne (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dijon won 4 times, Chateauroux won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:22 from Dijon's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Dijon 4-1-3-2 / Chateauroux -
H2H summary: Dijon wins 4, draws 7, Chateauroux wins 4

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Dijon Home
32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3 32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation