MOROCCO BOTOLA PRO
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Referee: B. Abdelmounaim
Difaa EL Jadida
Match Timeline
Wydad AC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
O. Benchchaoui · Assist: S. Abaaziz
Difaa EL Jadida
🟨
45+2'
S. Moussaddaq
Wydad AC
🔄
46'
H. Malki ↔ A. Riyane
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
46'
M. Rayhi ↔ W. Nassi
Wydad AC
🟨
52'
A. Coulibaly
Wydad AC
🟨
57'
I. Sabik
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
60'
N. Amrabat ↔ W. Ben Yedder
Wydad AC
🔄
72'
A. Boucheta ↔ N. Khali
Wydad AC
🔄
72'
W. Sabbar ↔ M. Mounssef
Wydad AC
🟨
80'
A. Ziani
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
80'
A. Idrissi ↔ A. Mostakime
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
80'
A. Ziani ↔ A. Ennakouss
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
84'
R. Vaca ↔ R. Mahtou
Wydad AC
🟨
90+1'
R. Mahtou
Wydad AC
🔄
90'
I. Sabik ↔ M. Mouchtanim
Difaa EL Jadida

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.2%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Difaa EL Jadida Win 56.2%
Draw 5.6%
Wydad AC Win 38.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Difaa EL Jadida0.94
Wydad AC1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Difaa EL Jadida Difaa EL Jadida
WWDLW
23 GF / 27 GA
Wydad AC Wydad AC
WLDWL
37 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
13
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Difaa EL Jadida Difaa EL Jadida 25 matches
Wydad AC Wydad AC 25 matches
Difaa EL Jadida Statistic Wydad AC
7 Wins 13
11 Draws 4
7 Losses 8
23 Goals For 37
27 Goals Against 24
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
13 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0.04
0 Total Shots 0.04
0 Corners 0.04
0% Ball Possession 1.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Wydad AC's more proactive style and Difaa EL Jadida's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wydad AC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Difaa EL Jadida expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Wydad AC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wydad AC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Wydad AC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Difaa EL Jadida Analysis

Difaa EL Jadida are currently 8 in the standings with 32 points from 25 matches. The record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 23:27 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Ziani (6 goals), M. Mouchtanim (3 goals), R. Da Costa (3 goals), with creative support from B. El Idrissi Bouzidi (3 assists), A. Ziani (2 assists), Khalid Baba (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wydad AC Analysis

Wydad AC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 43 points from 25 matches. Their record of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 37:24, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through H. Ziyech (8 goals), H. Hannouri (6 goals), R. Vaca (4 goals), with creative support from M. Moufid (3 assists), H. Ziyech (2 assists), R. Vaca (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Difaa EL Jadida won 3 times, Wydad AC won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:26 from Difaa EL Jadida's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Difaa EL Jadida 4-3-1-2 / Wydad AC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Difaa EL Jadida wins 3, draws 2, Wydad AC wins 10

Standings

Botola Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 11 3 40:17 23 59
W D W W L
2 30 16 9 5 44:27 17 57
W W L D W
3 30 16 8 6 39:19 20 56
W W D L W
4 30 13 16 1 45:22 23 55
D L D D W
5 30 13 4 13 39:33 6 43
L L L L L
6 30 9 13 8 30:34 -4 40
L D D W W
7 30 9 12 9 27:31 -4 39
W L D L W
8 30 9 10 11 31:36 -5 37
L D W L L
9 30 8 12 10 27:26 1 36
D D D W L
10 30 9 9 12 24:33 -9 36
L W D D L
11 30 8 9 13 28:37 -9 33
D D D D L
12 30 8 9 13 27:39 -12 33
D L D D W
13 30 6 13 11 32:40 -8 31
W D W W D
14 30 7 9 14 34:44 -10 30
W D L W W
15 30 7 9 14 29:40 -11 30
D D L D W
16 30 3 13 14 24:42 -18 22
L D D D L
CAF CL group stage
CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation