MOROCCO BOTOLA PRO
23.05.2026 20:00
Referee: A. Boulfaid
Difaa EL Jadida
Match Timeline
Olympique Safi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
S. El Bouchqali
Olympique Safi
28'
Y. Fatine · Assist: B. El Idrissi Bouzidi
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
46'
Y. Michte ↔ A. El Khafi
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
46'
F. Ngoma ↔ A. Mkhair
Olympique Safi
🔄
46'
H. Semmoumy ↔ M. Elaz
Olympique Safi
🔄
54'
O. Benchchaoui ↔ Y. Lamine
Difaa EL Jadida
🟨
64'
Y. Fatine
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
68'
A. Ziani ↔ M. Mouchtanim
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
78'
A. Idrissi ↔ A. Riyane
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
78'
R. Da Costa ↔ M. Hilali
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
79'
H. Ferhani ↔ S. El Morsli
Olympique Safi
🔄
79'
A. Habbassi ↔ A. Eddaou
Olympique Safi
🟨
81'
I. Serbout
Olympique Safi
85'
I. Serbout
Olympique Safi
🟨
90+2'
M. Chemlal
Olympique Safi
🔄
90+2'
S. Errahouli ↔ M. Chemlal
Olympique Safi

Difaa EL Jadida vs Olympique Safi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Difaa EL Jadida Win 72.3%
Draw 4%
Olympique Safi Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Difaa EL Jadida1.16
Olympique Safi0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Difaa EL Jadida Difaa EL Jadida
WWDLW
18 GF / 20 GA
Olympique Safi Olympique Safi
WLDWL
17 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
9
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Difaa EL Jadida Difaa EL Jadida 20 matches
Olympique Safi Olympique Safi 20 matches
Difaa EL Jadida Statistic Olympique Safi
7 Wins 2
8 Draws 8
5 Losses 10
18 Goals For 17
20 Goals Against 31
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
9 BTTS Yes 14
11 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Difaa EL Jadida expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Olympique Safi in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Olympique Safi having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Difaa EL Jadida arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 29 points compared to Olympique Safi in 15 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Olympique Safi.

Difaa EL Jadida Analysis

Difaa EL Jadida sit 6 with 29 points after 20 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Ziani (5 goals), M. Mouchtanim (3 goals), R. Da Costa (3 goals), with creative support from A. Ziani (2 assists), Khalid Baba (2 assists), R. Da Costa (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Olympique Safi Analysis

With 14 points from 20 games and a place of 15, Olympique Safi still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats with a 17:31 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Kone (5 goals), F. Karmoune (4 goals), S. El Moudane (2 goals), with creative support from Anass Eddaou (2 assists), S. El Moudane (1 assists), A. Soufeir (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Difaa EL Jadida won 4 times, Olympique Safi won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from Difaa EL Jadida's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Difaa EL Jadida 4-4-2 / Olympique Safi 5-4-1
H2H summary: Difaa EL Jadida wins 4, draws 5, Olympique Safi wins 6

Standings

Botola Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 11 3 40:17 23 59
W D W W L
2 30 16 9 5 44:27 17 57
W W L D W
3 30 16 8 6 39:19 20 56
W W D L W
4 30 13 16 1 45:22 23 55
D L D D W
5 30 13 4 13 39:33 6 43
L L L L L
6 30 9 13 8 30:34 -4 40
L D D W W
7 30 9 12 9 27:31 -4 39
W L D L W
8 30 9 10 11 31:36 -5 37
L D W L L
9 30 8 12 10 27:26 1 36
D D D W L
10 30 9 9 12 24:33 -9 36
L W D D L
11 30 8 9 13 28:37 -9 33
D D D D L
12 30 8 9 13 27:39 -12 33
D L D D W
13 30 6 13 11 32:40 -8 31
W D W W D
14 30 7 9 14 34:44 -10 30
W D L W W
15 30 7 9 14 29:40 -11 30
D D L D W
16 30 3 13 14 24:42 -18 22
L D D D L
CAF CL group stage
CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation