INDONESIA LIGA 1
03.05.2026 12:00
Indomilk Arena
Referee: M. Iqballuddin
Dewa United
Match Timeline
Semen Padang
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
32'
N. Sadaoui · Assist: Johnathan
Dewa United
🟨
42'
A. Kristiano
Semen Padang
🔄
46'
A. Kristiano ↔ Z. Afandi
Semen Padang
🟨
61'
A. Messidoro
Dewa United
🔄
64'
R. Struick ↔ B. Fatari
Dewa United
🔄
64'
A. Messidoro ↔ T. Marukawa
Dewa United
🔄
64'
Diego Mauricio ↔ K. Botan
Semen Padang
🟨
69'
E. Febriansah
Dewa United
🔄
76'
E. Vikri ↔ S. Lilipaly
Dewa United
🔄
78'
K. Froese ↔ R. Setiawan
Semen Padang
🔄
85'
N. Sadaoui ↔ K. Tanaka
Dewa United
🟨
90+8'
B. Diarra
Semen Padang
🔄
90+2'
K. Nakagawa ↔ W. Agong
Semen Padang

Dewa United vs Semen Padang Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 91.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
91.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dewa United Win 91.4%
Draw 0%
Semen Padang Win 8.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dewa United1.44
Semen Padang0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dewa United Dewa United
WWDLW
38 GF / 35 GA
Semen Padang Semen Padang
WLDWL
22 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.73
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
14
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dewa United Dewa United 30 matches
Semen Padang Semen Padang 30 matches
Dewa United Statistic Semen Padang
14 Wins 5
5 Draws 5
11 Losses 20
38 Goals For 22
35 Goals Against 51
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
14 BTTS Yes 11
22 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Dewa United's more proactive style and Semen Padang's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Dewa United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 47 points compared to Semen Padang in 17 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Semen Padang. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Dewa United come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Semen Padang having the stronger overall control.

Dewa United Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Dewa United have collected 47 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 14 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 38:35 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alex (16 goals), A. Messidoro (7 goals), P. Mbaga (4 goals), with creative support from A. Messidoro (5 assists), Alex (3 assists), R. Kambuaya (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Semen Padang Analysis

With 20 points from 30 games and a place of 17, Semen Padang still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 22:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Gomes (5 goals), C. Stewart (3 goals), Guillermo (2 goals), with creative support from P. Matos (3 assists), I. Maulana (2 assists), K. Froese (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Dewa United won 3 times, Semen Padang won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:3 from Dewa United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Dewa United wins 3, draws 0, Semen Padang wins 1

Standings

Indonesia Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 7 3 59:22 37 79
D W W W W
2 34 25 4 5 74:31 43 79
W D W W W
3 34 22 5 7 65:29 36 71
W W L W W
4 34 16 10 8 61:35 26 58
W W D W W
5 34 16 5 13 53:45 8 53
W L W L L
6 34 15 8 11 68:53 15 53
L D L W W
7 34 16 5 13 44:37 7 53
L L W W W
8 34 14 9 11 57:48 9 51
W W L L W
9 34 13 9 12 53:47 6 48
W W W L L
10 34 13 6 15 38:37 1 45
L D L L W
11 34 11 12 11 43:44 -1 45
L W W L L
12 34 11 6 17 42:61 -19 39
L L W W L
13 34 9 9 16 31:45 -14 36
D D W L L
14 34 9 8 17 37:54 -17 35
W L L W W
15 34 8 10 16 39:49 -10 34
L L L W L
16 34 8 10 16 39:59 -20 34
W W D L L
17 34 5 5 24 22:65 -43 20
L L L L L
18 34 4 6 24 31:95 -64 18
L L L L L
Champions League 2
Challenge League
Relegation