Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.9%
|
1.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.95 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.71 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
32 matches
Sligo Rovers
33 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Sligo Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 9 |
| 12 | Draws | 7 |
| 14 | Losses | 17 |
| 37 | Goals For | 36 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3.77 | Shots On Goal | 2.56 |
| 10.77 | Total Shots | 9.24 |
| 4.9 | Corners | 3.56 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 45% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Derry City's more proactive style and Sligo Rovers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sligo Rovers arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sligo Rovers. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Derry City have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 29 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses, while the 32:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on James Clarke (4 goals), Kévin Santos (3 goals), Afolabi Akinyemi (2 goals), with creative support from Ben Doherty (2 assists), James Clarke (1 assists), Kévin Santos (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Sligo Rovers approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 21 points from 25 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 22:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through William Fitzgerald (3 goals), Cian Kavanagh (3 goals), Archie Meekison (2 goals), with creative support from William Fitzgerald (3 assists), Archie Meekison (3 assists), Cian Kavanagh (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 5 times, Sligo Rovers won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Derry City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Coleraine FC
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Treaty United
Sligo Rovers
Finn Harps
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 51 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 44 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 40:38 | 2 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Home
|
26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 30 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 7 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 27 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Sligo Rovers
Away
|
26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
D
|