Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
80.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Derry City
Shelbourne
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
20 matches
Shelbourne
21 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 22 | Goals For | 37 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.61 | Shots On Goal | 4.47 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 14.53 |
| 6.22 | Corners | 5.53 |
| 54.4% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Shelbourne. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Derry City expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Shelbourne in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shelbourne having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Derry City sit 6 with 20 points after 17 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:21 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Duffy (5 goals), James Clarke (4 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), with creative support from Ben Doherty (2 assists), Brandon Fleming (2 assists), J. McClean (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 5 with 21 points from 16 outings, Shelbourne continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 24:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Wood (6 goals), J. Martin (6 goals), Daniel Kelly (4 goals), with creative support from M. Lundgren (3 assists), H. Wood (2 assists), A. Coote (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 4 times, Shelbourne won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Derry City's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.
Derry City
1
1
5
2
4
0
Lineups
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
Celtic
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Galway United
Shelbourne
Waterford
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Waterford
Shelbourne
Bray Wanderers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Celje
Shelbourne
AZ Alkmaar
Shelbourne
Shkendija
Shelbourne
Linfield
Shelbourne
HNK Rijeka
Shelbourne
Qarabag
Shelbourne
Linfield
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Shelbourne
Away
|
24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Home
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|