Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
60.9%
|
1.50 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
2.02 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
79.4%
|
1.24 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
10.00 |
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
34 matches
Shamrock Rovers
38 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Shamrock Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 22 |
| 12 | Draws | 7 |
| 15 | Losses | 9 |
| 42 | Goals For | 65 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.91 | Shots On Goal | 4.29 |
| 11.09 | Total Shots | 10.89 |
| 5 | Corners | 3.77 |
| 45.8% | Ball Possession | 50.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shamrock Rovers. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Shamrock Rovers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 54 points while Derry City sit 6 on 33, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Derry City expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Shamrock Rovers in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shamrock Rovers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 28 matches, Derry City have collected 33 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 38:37 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through James Clarke (5 goals), Kévin Santos (3 goals), Barry Cotter (2 goals), with creative support from Adam O'Reilly (2 assists), Ben Doherty (2 assists), James Clarke (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Operating from 1 place with 54 points from 27 games, Shamrock Rovers bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 43:24, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Burke (5 goals), J. McGovern (3 goals), Michael Noonan (3 goals), with creative support from J. McGovern (2 assists), Jack Byrne (2 assists), Dylan Watts (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 3 times, Shamrock Rovers won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Derry City's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 27 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Shamrock Rovers
Away
|
31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 18 | 56 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Derry City
Home
|
32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 3 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 5 | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41:44 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 37 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | -10 | 34 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | -30 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
D
|