WORLD UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
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The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Derry City Win 31.5%
Draw 5.5%
HNK Rijeka Win 63.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City0.92
HNK Rijeka1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derry City Derry City
WWDLW
36 GF / 40 GA
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
WLDWL
11 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
19
BTTS Yes
2
16
Over 2.5
3
3.79
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derry City Derry City 30 matches
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 6 matches
Derry City Statistic HNK Rijeka
6 Wins 5
11 Draws 0
13 Losses 1
36 Goals For 11
40 Goals Against 3
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
19 BTTS Yes 2
20 Over 1.5 5
16 Over 2.5 3
8 Over 3.5 0
6 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 0
3.79 Shots On Goal 0
11.14 Total Shots 0
5 Corners 0
46.9% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Derry City 4-1-4-1 / HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
Last matches: Derry City
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
16.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
23.07.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
HNK Rijeka
Dekani
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
HNK Rijeka
Radomlje
2
0
W
30.06.26
Fri
HNK Rijeka
Brinje-Grosuplje
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
HNK Rijeka
Bravo
2
1
W
23.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
17.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
08.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
0
W
03.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3
0
W
26.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
22.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
18.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
2
L
04.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
1
D
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
1
0
W
01.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
Last matches: Derry City
16.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
2
D
13.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
4
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
03.07.26
Fri
HNK Rijeka
Radomlje
2
0
W
30.06.26
Fri
HNK Rijeka
Brinje-Grosuplje
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
HNK Rijeka
Bravo
2
1
W
17.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
03.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3
0
W
22.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
18.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
04.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
1
D
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
1
0
W
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
01.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
1
L
20.01.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
2
1
W
18.12.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
30.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
09.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
06.11.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Lincoln Red Imps FC
1
1
D
01.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L