Derry City vs Dundalk H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsDerry City vs Dundalk Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
69.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Derry City
Dundalk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
39 matches
Dundalk
36 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 11 |
| 14 | Draws | 12 |
| 16 | Losses | 13 |
| 49 | Goals For | 57 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.19 | Shots On Goal | 5.09 |
| 12.35 | Total Shots | 15.62 |
| 5.19 | Corners | 5.74 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 50.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Derry City's more proactive style and Dundalk's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Dundalk arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dundalk. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Derry City expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Dundalk in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundalk having the stronger overall control.
Derry City come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 41 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 14 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 45:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Clarke (5 goals), M. Duffy (4 goals), A. O'Reilly (3 goals), with creative support from J. Clarke (3 assists), M. Duffy (3 assists), A. O'Reilly (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Dundalk sit 6 with 41 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 50:55, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through D. Horgan (9 goals), Tyreke Wilson (4 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (4 assists), Eoin Kenny (3 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 4 times, Dundalk won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Derry City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 60:41 | 19 | 62 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 53:27 | 26 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 49:47 | 2 | 46 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Dundalk
Away
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 51:56 | -5 | 42 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Home
|
33 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 45:44 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 7 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 41 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 45:56 | -11 | 34 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 26:60 | -34 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
L
|