Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derry City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Dundalk Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City1.43
Dundalk1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derry City
WWDLW
49 GF / 52 GA
Dundalk
WLDWL
55 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
23
BTTS Yes
26
19
Over 2.5
22
4
Shots on Goal
4.97
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
38 matches
Dundalk
34 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 11 |
| 14 | Draws | 11 |
| 15 | Losses | 12 |
| 49 | Goals For | 55 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4.97 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 15.56 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 5.66 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 50.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 4 times, Dundalk won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Derry City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derry City 3-4-3 / Dundalk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derry City wins 4, draws 8, Dundalk wins 3
Standings
Premier Division
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 27 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 18 | 56 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Derry City
Home
|
32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 3 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 5 |
Dundalk
Away
|
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 6 | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41:44 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 37 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | -10 | 34 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | -30 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation