Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derry City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Dundalk Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City1.36
Dundalk1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derry City
WWDLW
42 GF / 47 GA
Dundalk
WLDWL
49 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
21
BTTS Yes
23
17
Over 2.5
19
3.91
Shots on Goal
5.36
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
34 matches
Dundalk
30 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 12 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 10 |
| 42 | Goals For | 49 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.91 | Shots On Goal | 5.36 |
| 11.09 | Total Shots | 16.14 |
| 5 | Corners | 6.18 |
| 45.8% | Ball Possession | 50.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 4 times, Dundalk won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Derry City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derry City 4-3-3 / Dundalk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derry City wins 4, draws 8, Dundalk wins 3
Last matches: Derry City
21.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
3
5
L
07.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
30.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
16.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
Last matches: Dundalk
21.08.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
2
L
07.08.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
31.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
10.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
26.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
2
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
3
3
D
01.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
3
2
W
H2H: Derry City vs Dundalk
29.05.26
H2H
Dundalk
Derry City
2
1
L
10.04.26
H2H
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
13.02.26
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
18.10.24
H2H
Dundalk
Derry City
0
2
W
09.08.24
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
1
1
D
31.05.24
H2H
Dundalk
Derry City
0
0
D
05.04.24
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
4
1
W
01.09.23
H2H
Dundalk
Derry City
1
3
W
15.05.23
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
3
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
10.03.23
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
0
0
D
06.11.22
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
0
1
L
05.08.22
H2H
Dundalk
Derry City
1
1
D
20.05.22
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
18.02.22
H2H
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
Last matches: Derry City
07.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
16.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
2
D
13.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
4
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
H2H at home: Derry City
13.02.26
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
09.08.24
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
1
1
D
05.04.24
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
4
1
W
15.05.23
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
3
0
W
10.03.23
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
0
0
D
06.11.22
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
0
1
L
20.05.22
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
Last matches: Dundalk
07.08.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
24.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
3
3
D
25.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
0
4
L
23.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
16.01.26
Fri
Dundalk
UCD
5
1
W
H2H away: Dundalk
13.02.26
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
09.08.24
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
1
1
D
05.04.24
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
4
1
L
15.05.23
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
3
0
L
10.03.23
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
0
0
D
06.11.22
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
0
1
W
20.05.22
H2H
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
W
Standings
Premier Division
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 54 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45:23 | 22 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:34 | 13 | 47 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Away
|
28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 37 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 5 | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36:38 | -2 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Home
|
28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35:41 | -6 | 33 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 37:48 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 28 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23:45 | -22 | 23 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation