Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Derry City
Drogheda United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
25 matches
Drogheda United
24 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 29 | Goals For | 32 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.3 | Shots On Goal | 3.33 |
| 12.3 | Total Shots | 9.38 |
| 5.61 | Corners | 3.76 |
| 51.5% | Ball Possession | 38% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Derry City's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Drogheda United. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Drogheda United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
From their first 21 matches, Derry City have collected 25 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses, while the 26:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on James Clarke (7 goals), M. Duffy (5 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), with creative support from M. Duffy (2 assists), Ben Doherty (2 assists), Brandon Fleming (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
With 21 points from 20 games and a place of 8, Drogheda United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 25:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Doyle (9 goals), Conor Keeley (3 goals), W. Davis (3 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (4 assists), K. Cruise (2 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 5 times, Drogheda United won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Derry City's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Derry City
5
0
4
4
4
4
Lineups
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bray Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Home
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Drogheda United
Away
|
24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|