Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Derry City
Bohemians
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
22 matches
Bohemians
26 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Bohemians |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 12 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 5 |
| 23 | Goals For | 44 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.4 | Shots On Goal | 5.45 |
| 12.8 | Total Shots | 15.5 |
| 6.05 | Corners | 5.95 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 58.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bohemians's more proactive style and Derry City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bohemians. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Derry City expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Bohemians in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bohemians having the stronger overall control. Bohemians carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 34 points while Derry City sit 6 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Bohemians look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
So far, Derry City have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 22 points from 20 matches. The record of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 22:23 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Duffy (5 goals), James Clarke (4 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), with creative support from Ben Doherty (2 assists), Brandon Fleming (2 assists), J. McClean (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Bohemians approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 34 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with a 31:21 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on C. Whelan (7 goals), Patrick Hickey (4 goals), R. Tierney (4 goals), with creative support from M. Strods (4 assists), D. James-Taylor (3 assists), D. Devoy (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 7 times, Bohemians won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:14 from Derry City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Derry City
7
2
5
6
3
2
Lineups
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shelbourne
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Galway United
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Bohemians
Away
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Home
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|