Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Wrexham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby0.91
Wrexham0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
9 GF / 10 GA
Wrexham
WLDWL
2 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
5
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
0
4
Shots on Goal
8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
7 matches
Wrexham
3 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 0 |
| 9 | Goals For | 2 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 1 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 0 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 8 |
| 15 | Total Shots | 18 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 55% | Ball Possession | 33% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 0 times, Wrexham won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Derby's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 5-3-2 / Wrexham 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 0, draws 1, Wrexham wins 1
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
Last matches: Wrexham
17.08.26
Cha
Wrexham
Cardiff
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Manchester United
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Wisla Krakow
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
26.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Coventry
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Oxford United
1
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Stoke City
2
0
W
12.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Birmingham
0
2
L
07.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Southampton
1
5
L
03.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
West Brom
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
17.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Watford
1
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Swansea
2
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Hull City
1
2
L
07.03.26
FA
Wrexham
Chelsea
2
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Charlton
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Portsmouth
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Ipswich
5
3
W
17.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Bristol City
2
2
D
13.02.26
FA
Wrexham
Ipswich
1
0
W
H2H: Derby vs Wrexham
04.01.26
H2H
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
27.09.25
H2H
Wrexham
Derby
1
1
D
Last matches: Derby
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
H2H at home: Derby
04.01.26
H2H
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
Last matches: Wrexham
17.08.26
Cha
Wrexham
Cardiff
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Manchester United
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Wisla Krakow
0
0
D
26.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Coventry
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Oxford United
1
0
W
12.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Birmingham
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
West Brom
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
17.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Watford
1
3
L
28.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Charlton
1
0
W
17.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Bristol City
2
2
D
31.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
QPR
3
2
W
04.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
Derby
2
1
W
01.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
Blackburn
2
0
W
19.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Swansea
1
2
L
10.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Hull City
0
2
L
06.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Preston
1
1
D
22.11.25
Cha
Wrexham
Ipswich
0
0
D
05.11.25
Cha
Wrexham
Portsmouth
0
0
D
H2H away: Wrexham
04.01.26
H2H
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
W
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 14 |
Wrexham
Away
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 17 |
Derby
Home
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -4 |
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One