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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
04.01.2026 15:00
Derby
FT
1 - 2
Wrexham
Pride Park
Referee: Matthew Corlett, England
Derby
Match Timeline
Wrexham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
25'
S. Smith · Assist: N. Broadhead
Wrexham
🟨
30'
Max Cleworth
Wrexham
⚽
34'
B. Brereton Diaz · Assist: M. Clarke
Derby
⚽
48'
M. James
Wrexham
🔄
60'
C. Elder ↔ C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
🔄
60'
P. Agyemang ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
60'
R. Brewster ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
🔄
60'
L. Thompson ↔ L. Travis
Derby
🔄
66'
J. Windass ↔ O. Rathbone
Wrexham
🟨
68'
Matty James
Wrexham
🟨
73'
Dion Sanderson
Derby
🔄
75'
N. Broadhead ↔ L. O'Brien
Wrexham
🔄
81'
D. Sanderson ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🔄
90'
G. Thomason ↔ L. Cacace
Wrexham
🔄
90'
S. Smith ↔ J. Rodriguez
Wrexham

Derby vs Wrexham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Wrexham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.31
Wrexham1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
34 GF / 33 GA
Wrexham Wrexham
WLDWL
36 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
18
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
10
3.16
Shots on Goal
3.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 25 matches
Wrexham Wrexham 25 matches
Derby Statistic Wrexham
9 Wins 9
8 Draws 10
8 Losses 6
34 Goals For 36
33 Goals Against 31
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
18 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 4
3.16 Shots On Goal 3.84
9.36 Total Shots 10.92
4.84 Corners 4.52
41.5% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 0 times, Wrexham won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Derby's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 3-4-2-1 / Wrexham 3-2-4-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 0, draws 1, Wrexham wins 1

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham Away
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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