Derby
Match Timeline
Wrexham
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Wrexham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.31
Wrexham1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
34 GF / 33 GA
Wrexham
WLDWL
36 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
18
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
10
3.16
Shots on Goal
3.84
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
25 matches
Wrexham
25 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 8 | Losses | 6 |
| 34 | Goals For | 36 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.16 | Shots On Goal | 3.84 |
| 9.36 | Total Shots | 10.92 |
| 4.84 | Corners | 4.52 |
| 41.5% | Ball Possession | 46.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 0 times, Wrexham won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Derby's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 3-4-2-1 / Wrexham 3-2-4-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 0, draws 1, Wrexham wins 1
Stats
Derby
Wrexham
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
3
3
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
Derby
Formation
Wrexham
J. Widell Zetterstrom
S. Langas
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
J. Ward
L. Thompson
B. Clark
C. Elder
B. Brereton Diaz
P. Agyemang
R. Brewster
A. Okonkwo
M. Cleworth
D. Hyam
C. Doyle
M. James
B. Sheaf
R. Longman
J. Windass
N. Broadhead
G. Thomason
S. Smith
Derby
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
6
S. Langas
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
↓ 81'
🟨 73'
5
M. Clarke
D
🎯 34'
23
J. Ward
M
16
L. Thompson
M
↓ 60'
42
B. Clark
M
20
C. Elder
M
↓ 60'
25
B. Brereton Diaz
F
⚽ 34'
7
P. Agyemang
F
↓ 60'
10
R. Brewster
F
↓ 60'
Substitutes
12
R. O'Donnell
G
3
C. Forsyth
D
4
D. Batth
D
11
C. Blackett-Taylor
F
↑ 60'
14
A. Weimann
F
↑ 60'
15
L. Salvesen
F
↑ 60'
19
K. Jackson
F
↑ 81'
27
L. Travis
M
↑ 60'
32
E. Adams
M
Wrexham
3-2-4-1
Starting XI
1
A. Okonkwo
G
4
M. Cleworth
D
🟨 30'
5
D. Hyam
D
2
C. Doyle
D
37
M. James
M
⚽ 48'
🟨 68'
18
B. Sheaf
M
47
R. Longman
F
10
J. Windass
M
↓ 66'
33
N. Broadhead
M
🎯 25'
↓ 75'
14
G. Thomason
F
↓ 90'
28
S. Smith
F
⚽ 25'
↓ 90'
Substitutes
25
C. Burton
G
6
C. Coady
D
13
L. Cacace
D
↑ 90'
29
R. Barnett
M
15
G. Dobson
M
20
O. Rathbone
M
↑ 66'
27
L. O'Brien
M
↑ 75'
16
J. Rodriguez
F
↑ 90'
24
D. Scarr
D
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
Last matches: Wrexham
18.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Manchester United
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Wisla Krakow
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
26.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Coventry
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Oxford United
1
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Stoke City
2
0
W
12.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Birmingham
0
2
L
07.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Southampton
1
5
L
03.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
West Brom
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
17.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Watford
1
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Swansea
2
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Hull City
1
2
L
07.03.26
FA
Wrexham
Chelsea
2
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Charlton
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Portsmouth
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Ipswich
5
3
W
17.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Bristol City
2
2
D
13.02.26
FA
Wrexham
Ipswich
1
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Millwall
0
2
L
H2H: Derby vs Wrexham
04.01.26
H2H
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
27.09.25
H2H
Wrexham
Derby
1
1
D
Last matches: Derby
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
04.01.26
H2H
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
Last matches: Wrexham
18.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Manchester United
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Wisla Krakow
0
0
D
26.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Coventry
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Oxford United
1
0
W
12.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Birmingham
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
West Brom
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
17.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Watford
1
3
L
28.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Charlton
1
0
W
17.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Bristol City
2
2
D
31.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
QPR
3
2
W
01.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
Blackburn
2
0
W
19.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Swansea
1
2
L
10.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Hull City
0
2
L
06.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Preston
1
1
D
22.11.25
Cha
Wrexham
Ipswich
0
0
D
05.11.25
Cha
Wrexham
Portsmouth
0
0
D
25.10.25
Cha
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cha
Wrexham
Stoke City
0
1
L
H2H away: Wrexham
04.01.26
H2H
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
W
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Wrexham
Away
|
46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 8 |
Derby
Home
|
46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
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