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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
25.10.2025 14:00
Derby
FT
1 - 0
QPR
Pride Park
Referee: Elliot Bell, England
Derby
Match Timeline
QPR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
C. Morris · Assist: S. Langas
Derby
🔄
46'
H. Vale ↔ K. Dembele
QPR
🔄
46'
K. Saito ↔ I. Chair
QPR
🔄
68'
N. Madsen ↔ P. Smyth
QPR
🔄
68'
R. Kone ↔ M. Frey
QPR
🟨
69'
Jonathan Varane
QPR
🟨
71'
Steve Cook
QPR
🔄
72'
P. Agyemang ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
72'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🟨
75'
David Ozoh
Derby
🔄
75'
R. Norrington-Davies ↔ S. Field
QPR
🔄
88'
M. Johnston ↔ R. Nyambe
Derby
🟨
90+2'
Carlton Morris
Derby
🔄
90+3'
C. Morris ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby

Derby vs QPR Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
QPR Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.23
QPR1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
QPR QPR
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
7
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
6
2.55
Shots on Goal
3.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 11 matches
QPR QPR 11 matches
Derby Statistic QPR
2 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
12 Goals For 15
16 Goals Against 16
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
7 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
2.55 Shots On Goal 3.73
8 Total Shots 13.45
4.27 Corners 4.64
42.7% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 7 times, QPR won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Derby's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 3-4-2-1 / QPR 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 7, draws 3, QPR wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR Away
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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