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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Derby
FT
1 - 0
QPR
Pride Park
Referee: Elliot Bell, England
Derby
Match Timeline
QPR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
C. Morris · Assist: S. Langas
Derby
🔄
46'
H. Vale ↔ K. Dembele
QPR
🔄
46'
K. Saito ↔ I. Chair
QPR
🔄
68'
N. Madsen ↔ P. Smyth
QPR
🔄
68'
R. Kone ↔ M. Frey
QPR
🟨
69'
Jonathan Varane
QPR
🟨
71'
Steve Cook
QPR
🔄
72'
P. Agyemang ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
72'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🟨
75'
David Ozoh
Derby
🔄
75'
R. Norrington-Davies ↔ S. Field
QPR
🔄
88'
M. Johnston ↔ R. Nyambe
Derby
🟨
90+2'
Carlton Morris
Derby
🔄
90+3'
C. Morris ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
QPR Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.23
QPR1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
QPR QPR
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
7
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
6
2.55
Shots on Goal
3.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 11 matches
QPR QPR 11 matches
Derby Statistic QPR
2 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
12 Goals For 15
16 Goals Against 16
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
7 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
2.55 Shots On Goal 3.73
8 Total Shots 13.45
4.27 Corners 4.64
42.7% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 7 times, QPR won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Derby's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 3-4-2-1 / QPR 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 7, draws 3, QPR wins 5
Stats
Derby Derby
QPR QPR
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 2
5 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
294 Total passes 495
216 Passes accurate 397
1.67 expected_goals 0.38
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Derby
Formation
QPR
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
S. Langas
🎯
S. Langas
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
M. Johnston
↓
M. Johnston
B. Clark
B. Clark
D. Ozoh
D. Ozoh
C. Elder
C. Elder
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
P. Agyemang
↓
P. Agyemang
C. Morris
⚽ ↓
C. Morris
P. Nardi
P. Nardi
J. Dunne
J. Dunne
A. S. Mbengue
A. S. Mbengue
S. Cook
S. Cook
R. Norrington-Davies
↓
R. Norrington-Davies
J. Varane
J. Varane
N. Madsen
↓
N. Madsen
H. Vale
↓
H. Vale
R. Kone
↓
R. Kone
K. Saito
↓
K. Saito
R. Burrell
R. Burrell
Derby 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
6
S. Langas
🎯 10'
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
D
22
M. Johnston
↓ 88'
M
42
B. Clark
M
18
D. Ozoh
🟨 75'
M
20
C. Elder
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 72'
F
7
P. Agyemang
↓ 72'
F
9
C. Morris
⚽ 10' ↓ 90+3' 🟨 90+2'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Vickers
G
4
D. Batth
D
10
R. Brewster
↑ 72'
F
14
A. Weimann
F
15
L. Salvesen
↑ 90+3'
F
16
L. Thompson
M
19
K. Jackson
↑ 72'
F
23
J. Ward
M
24
R. Nyambe
↑ 88'
D
QPR 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
P. Nardi
G
3
J. Dunne
D
27
A. S. Mbengue
D
5
S. Cook
🟨 71'
D
18
R. Norrington-Davies
↓ 75'
D
40
J. Varane
🟨 69'
M
24
N. Madsen
↓ 68'
M
20
H. Vale
↓ 46'
M
22
R. Kone
↓ 68'
M
14
K. Saito
↓ 46'
M
16
R. Burrell
F
Substitutes
29
B. Hamer
G
4
L. Morrison
D
7
K. Dembele
↑ 46'
M
8
S. Field
↑ 75'
M
10
I. Chair
↑ 46'
M
11
P. Smyth
↑ 68'
F
12
M. Frey
↑ 68'
F
15
I. Hayden
M
21
K. Morgan
D
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
Last matches: QPR
15.08.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
QPR
Southampton
0
5
L
H2H: Derby vs QPR
25.04.26
H2H
QPR
Derby
2
3
W
25.10.25
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
14.02.25
H2H
QPR
Derby
4
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Derby
QPR
2
0
W
18.04.22
H2H
QPR
Derby
1
0
L
29.11.21
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
2
L
23.01.21
H2H
QPR
Derby
0
1
W
04.11.20
H2H
Derby
QPR
0
1
L
25.02.20
H2H
QPR
Derby
2
1
L
30.11.19
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
1
D
22.04.19
H2H
Derby
QPR
2
0
W
06.10.18
H2H
QPR
Derby
1
1
D
06.03.18
H2H
QPR
Derby
1
1
D
21.11.17
H2H
Derby
QPR
2
0
W
31.03.17
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
Last matches: Derby
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
25.10.25
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
Derby
QPR
2
0
W
29.11.21
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
2
L
04.11.20
H2H
Derby
QPR
0
1
L
30.11.19
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
1
D
22.04.19
H2H
Derby
QPR
2
0
W
21.11.17
H2H
Derby
QPR
2
0
W
31.03.17
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
Last matches: QPR
15.08.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
QPR
Southampton
0
5
L
21.02.26
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
1
W
06.02.26
Cha
QPR
Charlton
0
0
D
20.01.26
Cha
QPR
Oxford United
0
0
D
17.01.26
Cha
QPR
Stoke City
0
0
D
11.01.26
FA
QPR
West Ham
1
2
L
29.12.25
Cha
QPR
West Brom
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
1
1
D
13.12.25
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
29.11.25
Cha
QPR
Norwich
1
3
L
H2H away: QPR
25.10.25
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Derby
QPR
2
0
L
29.11.21
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
2
W
04.11.20
H2H
Derby
QPR
0
1
W
30.11.19
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
1
D
22.04.19
H2H
Derby
QPR
2
0
L
21.11.17
H2H
Derby
QPR
2
0
L
31.03.17
H2H
Derby
QPR
1
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR Away
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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