Derby vs Millwall Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.22
Millwall1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
13 GF / 18 GA
Millwall
WLDWL
15 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
6
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
6
3.2
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
11 matches
Millwall
11 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 13 | Goals For | 15 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.2 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 15 |
| 4.8 | Corners | 6 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 48.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 3 times, Millwall won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Derby's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Millwall 4-3-3
H2H summary: Derby wins 3, draws 5, Millwall wins 7
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Millwall
Away
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 8 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 7 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 21 |
Derby
Home
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 3 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One