Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Millwall Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.73
Millwall0.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
2 GF / 0 GA
Millwall
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1
0
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
0
BTTS Yes
2
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
1 matches
Millwall
3 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 2 |
| 2 | Goals For | 3 |
| 0 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 0 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 3 times, Millwall won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Derby's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 3, draws 5, Millwall wins 7
Last matches: Derby
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
Last matches: Millwall
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
11.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Oxford United
2
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Millwall
QPR
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Birmingham
3
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Portsmouth
1
3
L
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
H2H: Derby vs Millwall
10.03.26
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
0
L
10.12.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
23.02.22
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
2
L
06.11.21
H2H
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
13.03.21
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
05.12.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
1
W
20.06.20
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
3
W
14.12.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
20.02.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
18.08.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
2
1
L
30.01.18
H2H
Millwall
Derby
0
0
D
23.12.17
H2H
Derby
Millwall
3
0
W
25.04.15
H2H
Millwall
Derby
3
3
D
Last matches: Derby
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
10.12.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
23.02.22
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
2
L
13.03.21
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
14.12.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
20.02.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
23.12.17
H2H
Derby
Millwall
3
0
W
Last matches: Millwall
21.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Gillingham
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Millwall
Eldense
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Millwall
FC Andorra
1
2
L
08.05.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
0
0
D
24.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Leicester
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Stoke City
3
1
W
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Hull City
3
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Preston
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Wrexham
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Coventry
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Watford
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Millwall
Burnley
1
5
L
01.01.26
Cha
Millwall
Southampton
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
0
2
L
10.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Millwall
Bristol City
1
0
W
H2H away: Millwall
10.12.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
22.02.25
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
23.02.22
H2H
Derby
Millwall
1
2
W
13.03.21
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
14.12.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
20.02.19
H2H
Derby
Millwall
0
1
W
23.12.17
H2H
Derby
Millwall
3
0
L
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Derby
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 20 |
Millwall
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One